Thailand - Current economic position and prospects (Vol. 2 of 2) : Statistical appendix

RESTRICTED EAP1 Vol. 2 This report was prepared for use within the Bank and its affiliated organizations. They do not accept responsibility for its accuracy or completeness. The report may not be published nor may it be quoted as representing their views. INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION CURRENT ECONOMIC POSITION AND PROSPECTS OF THAILAND (in two volumes) VOLUME II STATISTICAL APPENDIX February 12, 1969 East Asia and Pacific Department  CURRENCY EQUIVAIENTS Currency Unit - baht U.S. $1.00 = , 20.80 X 1 5 U.S. $0.048 )I 1 million = U.S. $48,077  'IT . _SGiC.L AF D. Table No, EXTERNiL DEST 1 External Medium- and Long-Term Public Debt Outstanding 2 Estiriiated Contractual .ervice Payments on Exbcternal lvMedium- and Long-Term Public Debt 3 Estimated External Medium- and Long-Term Private Debt Outstanding 4 Estimated Contractual Service Payments on External Medium- and Long-Term Private Debt VIT.L STATISTICS 5 Size and Structure of Population 6 Population and Labor Force Projections 7 Dmployment by Industry 8 Student Enrollment in the Educational System of Thailand 9 Numbers of Schools, Teachers and Students, Classified by Regions 10 Student Enrollment in Universities by Field of Study 11 Projections of School ALge Population by Age and Grade Levels NATIONAL ACCOUnTS 12 Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin (Current Market Prices) 13 Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin (1962 Miarket Prices) 14 Percentage Distribution of Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin 15 Expenditure on uross Domestic Product (Current Market Prices) 16 Saving and Investment in the Public and Private Sectors (Current Market Prices) 17 Gross Fixed Capital Formation by Type of Capital Goods (Current M;arket Prices) 18 Regional Gross Domestic Product (Current Market Prices) AGRICULTURE 19 Production of Principal Crops and Forest Products 20 Land Utilization by Regions (1965) 21 Paddy Acreage and Yields by Region 22 Commercial Fish Catch INDUSTRY 23 lanufacturing Value Added by Dranches (Current Maklrket Prices) 24 Indicators of l,ining, Manufacturing and Electricity Output 25 Composition of Lndustrial Investment under Promotion CertificatV- 26 Building Permits Issued by Bangkok IIunicipality  STATI ST.ICAL APPEIUDIX (continued) Table No. EXTIERMAL TRADE A-ID) FINANCE 27 Value of Exports 28 Volume of Exports by Principal Commodities 29 Value of Imports 30 Balance of Payments 31 External Assets INTERNqL FINANCE 32 Central Government Accounts 33 Central Government Revenue 34 Central Government Development and Non-Development Expenditures on Education 35 Gross Fixed Capital Expenditure of otate Enterprises and Its Financing 36 Accounts of Local Governments 37 U.S. Grant Assistance (Disbursements) 38 Consolidated Accounts of the Public Sector 39 Changes in Factors Affecting Aoneyr Supply 4C Price Indices  Table 1 EXTERNAL MEDIUM- AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC DEBT OUTSTANDING /1 Debt Repayrable in Foreign Currency (In thousands of U.S. dollars) Debt outstanding June 30, 1968 Source Disbursed Including only undisbursed TOTAL EXTERNAL PT M,LIC DEBT 230,801 31f,07f Privately held debt - Siinoliers 26 991 28 327 Aistria 6,726 726, France 10,921 10,921 Italy - 1,000 Japan 1,634 1,970 Others 7,710 7,710 Loans from international organizations 143,35l 208 1l7J Asian Development Bank - IB >?D 143,351 ?03,174 Loans from governments 60 4 59 79,575 Austria 3,329 Canada - Germany 31,304 42,905, Utnited States 26,500 32,L16 'I Debt with an original or extended maturity of one year or riore. Statistical Services Division Economics Department fNovember 6, 1968  Table 2 ESTIMATED CONTRACTUAL SERVICE PAYMENTS ON EXCERNAL MEDIUM- AND LONG-TERM PUBIIC DEBT /1 Debt qeDayable in Foreign OCurrency (In thousands of U.S. dollars) Page 1 DEBT OUTST (PEGIN 0F PERIOD) PAYMENTS uJ ING PERIOD INCLUDING AMORTI- YEAR UNOISBURSED LATION INTEREST TOTAL TOTAL tXTtRNAL PUJ.IC D;8T 196d 297,7$7 /I 22,373 11,232 33PP,05 1969 284,441 23,78it 12,113 35.i93 1970 250,Thl 1i232, 12p492 30a820 1971 242,333 15,047 12,U7U 27,117 1972 227,286 14,934 11,513 26o44 1 1973 212#352 l509nd ilau'i6 2o*924 1974 196,444 15s463 ikij193 25,65b 1975 l8O0982 15,134 9,377 24q510 1976 165,848 15#699 3,573 24*,72 1977 150e149 1,,981 7e735 23.716 197b 134,167 16fl5 0 5,867 22o937 1979 118e11.8 i6,528 6,eOJ2 22,560 1980 11a590 16,916 5#138 22,054 1931 i4,674 16,653 4,237 2Uad93 19b2 68oO20 16,1 bf .3350 19,854 Note: Includez- service on all debt listed on Table 1 prepared November 4, 19tE, excent for the following for which repayment terms are not available: ';uppliers $ 7,710,000 loans from International Organization 5,000,000 Loans from governments: Austria 3,329,000 Germany 2,250,000 Total $18)m9,000O 3ee footnote at end of table.  Table 2 ESTIMATED CONTRACTUAL SERVICE PAYMENYS ON EXTERNAL MEDIUM- AND LONG-TERMPUBLIC DEBT /1 Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency (In thousands of PI.S. dollars) Page 2 DEST OUTST (BEGIN OF PERIUD') PAYvMENTS DURI'IG PERIOU INCLUDI4G AMURTI'- YEAH UNOISBUIRSED LATION INTEHEST TUiTAL PR'IVATELY HP-LO DtBT 6UPPL ILR.: 19ib 20,617 /1 11,2,i7 449 11,b96 1969 14,0?8 '- 9 *395 427 9 22 1970 4,633 3,436 255 3,692 1971 1,196 190 69 259 1972 1,fnn 190 58 248 1973 616 190 46 236 1974 626 190 35 225 1975i 436 190 23 223 1976 24o 190 12 e02 1977 56 56 2 57 LOht'; -FROM I rITEW34ATI ONAL ( FANITZA?IOi'IS I 9R0 1968 203,174 /1 7,590 i,u58 15.tSe 1969 19d, 981 9, 476 9,271 17,747 297o 190,505 9,653 9,964 19,63- 1971 180,892 9,482 9,999 19,481 1972 171,370 g,203 9,618 18,821 1973 152,167 9,978 9,190 19*168 1974 152,189 10,598 5,619 19,217 1975 141,591, 10,493 8,018 18,511 1976 131,098 11,638 7,404 19,O42 1977 119,460 12,451 6,727 19,178 1978 107,009 12,543 suij3 1,556 1979 94,466 13,244 5,287 1b,531 1980 81,222 14,009 4,5i3 16.522 1981 67,213 14,197 3,704 17,901 1982 53,016 14,043 2,899 16.937 s fon- not- at end nf tabie.  Table 2 ESTIMATED CONTRACTUAL SERVICE PAYMENTS ON EXTERNAL MEDIUM- AND LONG-TERM PUBLIr' DEBT /1 Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency (In thouisands of U.S. dollars) Page 3 DEiT OUTST ( dEGrIN OF PERIOP ) PAYMcNTS uJtIING PtR iaO INCLUDN IG AM1ORTI- YEAH (h,4'l I SBURSED ZATION I'4 TEiEST T 0-TAL LOANS FROM GOVERNItNTS 196d 73,996 /I 3,536 2,745 o,1I 1969 71,433 5,9n9 2,415 b,S24 1970 65,524 5,239 2,253 7.451 1971 60,285 5,j75 2,90l2 7.377 1972 54#910 5,541 1,838 7,379 1973 49,369 5,739 1,780 7,52u 1974 43,630 4,675 1,5s9 6,J14 1975 38,955 4,451 1.335 5,7#b 1976 34,5n4 3,871 1,157 ,0ad 1977 30,633 3,475 1,006 4,481 1978 27,158 3,507 874 4#6b1 1979 23,652 3,284 745 4#G29 1953 20,368 2,9n7 625 s,732 19.31 17,461 2,456 543 23989 1992 15,0n4 2,477 451 ,v27 LOANS FROM GOVERNMENTS CA.NADA 196d 925 /1 1969 925 - - - 1970 925 1971 925: 1972 925 - 1973 925e 1974 925 e - 1975 925 e - 1976 925 - 1977 925 15 15 1978 910 31 - 31 1979 879 31 - 31 1980 848 31. 31 1981 817 31 - 31 1952 786 31 - 31 ,lee footnotp at end of table.  Table 2 EaTIMATED CONTRACTUAL SERVICE PAYMENTS ON EXTERNAL MEDIUM- AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC DEBT Zl Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency (In thousands of U.S. dollars) Page 4 DERT OUTST (BEGIN OF PERIOD) PAYMENTS DURING P6RIOD IN CLUDING AMORTI- r E A ti IJNnISaURSED ZATIIN INT;NEST TOrALT LOAN<S FRCM GOVER1MEN1 S E -MANY 196o 40,655 /1 1,465 1,138 4,6U3 1969 39,725 - 2,64 1,220 3,04 1970 37,661 2,347 1,251 s,59d 1971 35,314 2,631 1,1$2 4,783 1972 32,683 2,787 1,135 6192 1973 29,896 2,943 1,iO 4,053 1974 26,953 2,943 994 4,937 1975 24,010 2,943 879 3,822 1976 21,067 ?,943 763 4,706 1977 15,124 2,943 648 3,591 1978 15,181 2,943 532 ,475 1979 12,238 2,703 420 ).123 1980 9,535 2,310 317 2,626 198i 7,225 1,841 243 2,083 1982 5,384 1,843 179 40:,U-2 LOANS FROM GOVERNMENTS urITEO STATES 1968 32,416 /1- 2,n71 1,607 3,676 1969 30,783 3,845 1,195 5,040 1970 26,938 2,891 1.Dbl 3,089$ 1971 24,047 2,745 850 4,595 1972 21,3f2 2,754 703 3,457 1973 l8,548 2,796 670 3,467 1974 15,751 1,732 545 2,077 1975 14,020 1j508 457 1,964 1976 12,512 928 394 1,4i2i 1977 11,584 516 359 875 1978 11,068 533 342 875 1979 10,533 550 325 875 1980 9,985 567 308 875 1961 99413 585 290 o75 1982 8,534 603 272 d75 7, :mlounit outstandli.r,F is as of ,TJnf' 30, ]7-; Vayments are for the enti-re vy-a r. Statistical F.ervices Division E1conomic:s Department November (A, l9OA  Table 3 1/ ESTIIILATED EXTEMI L iMTEDIUM4 ANID LONG-TERKi PRIVATE D;--T OUTSTAh-1DING (millions of U 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 Disbursed and Outstanding at Beginning of Year 15 26 54 93 109 129 Disbursed During Year 23 44 68 54 68 11i Repaid During Year -12 -16 -29 -38 -48 -61 Disbursed and Outstanding at End of Year 26 54 93 109 1529 1.85 1/ Very roughly estimated from information provided by Bark of Thailand and balance of payments data. Repayments probably include some interest payments, increase in debt outstanding may there2ore be overstated. Source: Banl of Thailand) estimates made bby the mission.  Table 4 i.7.T:;TED CONTTFUICTUAL SERVICE PA.Y!L.ENTS ON E::7.::.T _EDIUM- AND LONG-TERI PIIVATE DEBT (millions of US dollars) Interest Principal Total 1/ I. Actual 1962 n.a. 12.0 n.a. 1963 n.a. 16.1 n.a. 1964 n.a. 29.2 n.a. 1965 9.0 38.2 47.2 1966 7.7 )48.0 55.7 1967 9.8 61.2 71.0 2/ II. Projections 1968 3.7 64.8 68.5 1969 3.2 45.7 48.9 1970 2.5 21.4 23.9 1971 1.9 17.4 1-9.3 1972 1.6 11.9 13.5 1973 1.2 8.2 9.) 1/ As estimated in the balance of payments. 2/ Interest payments on suppliers' credits are included in principal as no separate estimates are available. 3/ Loans, for which no information on :Lnactivity is available, have been treated as thou-h the full amount -fell due in 1968. Source: Bank of Thailand.  Table 5 SIZE AND STRUCTUPE OF POPULATION (Thousands) 1960 1966 1971 1976 1981 PopulPtio'. Composition Population Composition Population 2no jition Population Composition Population Composition A. Fertility Decline-I/ from 1970 - Onwards O - 1h 12,134 4LL.96 15,180 45.72 17,915 h5.70 19,930 44.16 21,391 41-75 15 - 59 13,647 50.56 16,141 49.67 19,422 h9.5h 22,97h 50.91 27,209 53.10 60 and over 1 209 4.48 1,531 4.61 1,865 4.76 2 226 4.93 2,637 5-15 Total 26,9o9 100.00 33,202 Z 100-0 39,202 100.0 3 100.00 .51,237 Annual Growth Rate (Compound)- 3.3% 3.35% 2.85% 2.55% Dependency Rate-/ 98 101 102 96 88 B. Constant-/ Fertility during the Projection Period 0 - I4 17,94h 45.70 21,268 45.62 25,652 45.92 15 - 59 19,452 49.54 23,114 49.58 27,534 49.29 60 and over 1,869 4.76 2 237 4.80 2,676 4.79 Total 39,265 100.00 46,6109. -00 100.00 Annual Growth Rate (Compound) 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% Dependency Rate3/ 102 102 103 C. Deviations among Corresponding Magnitudes of Projections 0 - 14 29 1,338 4,261 15 - 59 30 140 325 60 and over 4 11 39 Total 6 1,49 4,62 D. Rural and Urban Population4/ Rural 24,669 91.4 29,882 90.0 34,907 88.9 40,745 87.4 48,097 86.1 Urban 2,321 8.6 3,320 10.0 4,358 11.1 5,874 12.6 7,765 13.9 1/ The following assumptions were used (per thousand of population): Birth Rate Death Rate A -a A S 1966 - 1971 42.2 42.9 9-5 9.9 1971 - 1976 39.9 42.5 7.9 9.1 1976 - 1981 35.7 42.5 7.1 7.9 2/ Calculated from the preceding year shown. 3/ Derived by dividing the number cf people in age groups O - 1 and 60 and over by the number of people in the age group 15 - 59. j/ Based on assumoption 'B'. Source: Hal'or Gille e Thip Chalothorn: 'The Demographi^ outlook of Thailand and Some Implications", 1963 (Mimeograph). P. Sankar Menon: "A Plote on the Population Projections of ThaHland", 196' (Mimeograph). ID: "Asian Employment and Training Projections", 198.  Table 6 POPT:LATIN AND LABOR FORCE PROJECTIONS (Thousands) 1960 1966 1971 1981 Participation u Participation 2/ Participation Participation Age Group Population Labor Force Rate Populationi/ Labor Fcrce7/ Rate Populationi_ Labor Force-/ Rate Pouation?/Labor Force3! Rate 0 - 9 8,981 - - 11,028 - - 12,985 - - 18,750 - 10 - 19 5,788 3,216 55.5 7,[66 3,8L5 51.5 9,0n9 L L, 23 48.8 12,716 5,698 bL.8 20 - 59 11,012 9,926 90.1 13,132 11,720 89.2 15,301 13,510 88.2 21,679 18,755 86.5 60 and over 1,209 614 50.8 1,576 768 48.7 1,930 922 47.7 2,717 1,282 47.1 Total 26,990 13,756 50.9 33,202 16,333 89.1 39,265 18,859 48.o 99,862 25,735 46.0 Anniual. Rates of Growth ( - - - 3.3 2.9 3.4 2.9 3.6 3.1 1/ Projections of population assume: a slight decline in the birth rate of L5 per thousand in 1960 to 42.2 in 1980; a fall in the death rate of 9.9 per thousand in 1960 to 7.9 in 19SO. 2/ In the forecast of the urban labor force (a) it is assumed that educational improvements over the 1960-80 period would reduce by one-third the participation rates for the 11-19 years age group; (h) the same reduction in participation rates is assumed for the group 60 / over the f(recast pericd, mainly catused by earlier retirement due to industrialization; (c) the participation rates for women would also decline by one-third, in all age groups. For the rural labor force it is assumed that participation rates for the 11-IL years age grcup would decline by one-third, but no changes would occur for the other age =roup. Source: Silie and Chalothorn: The Deregraphic Outlook for rhailand and Some Implicaticrns; estinates made by the mission.  Table 7 YIPL0YTjENT BY INDUSTRY T hole Kingdom Bangkcok IMetropolitan Area -960 1/ 1966 2/ 1963 3 1965/66 74/ Thouisands % of Total Thousands %, of Total Thousands % of Total Thousands % of Total Agriculture 11,339 82.4 13,132 8014 24 3.5 23 2,7 Mining, Quarrying 30 0 .2 49 0