World demand prospects for jute

A joint study by the Commodities and Trade Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations and the Commodity Studies and Projections Division of the World Bank World Demand Prospects for Jute M. Elton Thigpen, Paula Marongiu, and Saidur R. Lasker  WORLD BANK STAFF COMMODITY WORKIN'G PAPERS 1. The World Tin Economy: An Econometric Analysis (out of print) 2. International Cotton Matket Prospects 3. An EconometriLc Model of the World Rubber Economy (out of print) 4. Industrial Processing of Natural Resources 5. The World Sugar Economy: An Econometric Analysis of Long-Term Developments 6. World Bank Commodity Models (2 volumes) 7. Analysis of the World Coffee Market 8. Analysis of the World Cocoa Market 9. The Outlook for Primary Commodities 10. World Rubber Market Structure and Stabilisation: An Econometric StudZ 11. The Outlook for Primary Commodities, 1984 to 1995 12. The Outlook for Thermal Coal 13. Jute Supply Response in Bangladesh 14. Prospects for the World Jute Industry 15. The World Copper Industry: Its Changing Structure and Future Prospects  WORLD BANK STAFF COMMODITY WORKING PAPERS Number 16 World Demand Prospects for Jute M. Elton Thigpen, Paula Marongiu, and Saidur R. Lasker A joint study by the Commodities and Trade Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations and the Commodity Studies and Projections Division of the World Bank The World Bank FAO Washington, D.C. Rome  . 'I - The Intemational Bank for Reconstruction and Development / THE WORLD BANK Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations/FAO All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America First printing January 1987 Commodity Working Papers are not formal publications of the World Bank, and are circulated to encourage discussion and commnent and to communicate the results of the Bank's work quickly to the development community; citation and the use of these papers should take account of their provisional character. The findings, inerretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author(s) and should not be attributed in any manner to the World Bank, to its affiliated organizations, or to members of its Board of Executive Directors or the countries they represent. 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The complete backlist of publications is shown in the annual Index of Publications, which contains an alphabetical title list and indexes of subjects, authors, and countries and regions; it is of value principally to libraries and institutional purchasers. The continuing research program is described in The World Bank Research Program: Abstracts of Current Studies, which is issued annually. The latest edition of each of these is available free of charge from the Publications Sales Unit, Department F, The World Bank, 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A., or from Publications, The World Bank, 66, avenue d'I6na, 75116 Paris, France. M. Elton Thigpen is an economist in the Economic Analysis and Projections Department of the World Bank. Paula Marongiu is a senior commodity specialist, and Saidur R. Lasker a commodity specialist, in the Commodities and Trade Division of the FAO. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Thigpen, M. Elton, 1932- World demand prospects for j-fte, (World Bank staff commodity working p-ers, ISSN 0253-3537 ; no. 16) "A joint study by the Commodities and Trade Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations and the Commodity Studies and Projections Division of the World Bank." 1. Jute industry--Forecasting. I. Marongiu, Paula, 1940- . II. Lasker, Saidur R., 1940- III. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Commodities and Trade Division. IV, World Bank, Commodity Studies and Projectio-ns Diyision. V. Title, IV. Series: World Bank staff commodity working paper ; no. 160 H1D9156.J7T46 1987 338.4'767713 86-32522 ISBN 0-8213-0867-X  ABSTRACT Surveys were used to quantify the substantial structural changes that have occurred in the major world jute markets since the late 1960s and to identify constraints to further growth in jute consumption during the remainder of the 1980s. The promising prospects for increased use of jute sacks and wrapping fabrics for packaging agricultural inputs and produce in many developing countries contrast sharply with poor growth prospects for jute consumption in other agricultural producing countries where bulk-handling of commodities and the increased use of synthietic packaging materials have seriously eroded the demand for jute products, In some markets jute products face substantial tariff and non-tariff barriers designed to reduce their competitiveness with locally produced fiber or packaging materials. Therefore, future demand prospects for jute products depend on both a dependable supply of competitively priced jute goods and improved market access where trade barriers now effectively exclude imported jute products. Thus, improved efficiency of jute agriculture and manufacturing combined with trade policy improvements are important to jute's future demand prospects. Should progress be achieved in those areas and the jute industries capitalize oa new technologies such as non-spun yarns, the growth in world consumption of jute during the 1980s could exceed the achievement of the 1970s.  I INA I t w s %A. < -z It-' I I  TABLE OF CONTENTS Is Overvi ew., ... .....vv