The impact of the Andapa - Sambava road : a socio-economic study of the Andapa Basin (Vol. 1 of 2) : Main report

i z s / - t02 73 J' The World Bank Democratic RepubkAh.,. Ministry to the Presidency of the Republic, in Charge of Finance and Planning General Directorate of Planning / Report No. 10273 The Impact of the Andapa-Sambava Road: A Socio-Economic Study of the Andapa Basin Madagascar Volume I Prepared by / Brigitta Mitchell Xavier Rakotonirina Transportation Department General Directorate of Planning Washington, D.C., USA December, 1977 Antananarivo, MADAGASCAR  v THE IMPACT IF THE ANDAPA-SAMBAVA ROAD: A SOCIO-ECONOMIC STUDY OF THE ANDAPA BASIN MADAGASCAR VOLUME I -f  TABLE OF CONTENTS VOLUME I Page No. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS .. e. . ............................ i-x I. INTRODUCTION ................... ...0.0Oe0 000000*o I A. THE STUDY AREA ...oo........oooooo .......o 1 B. THE ROAD PROJECT 2 ... ......o........ 2 C. THE ROAD IMPACT STUDY ......,....o..o.... oo 2 II. METHOD A. GENERAL STUDY DESIGN ....... . ................... 6 B. THE SAMPLE SURVEYS: 1965-1975 .............. . ...... 8 1. The Baseline Survey: BCEOM, July 1964-June 1965 8 Household Sample ..... ...... ....... 9 Sample of Areas Under Different Crops ..... 10 Market/Price Survey *................. ..... 11 Survey of Air Transport Movements to/from Andapa ..*.0.0... o......0....0 o o 0 00.0.... 11 2. The Post-Road-Completion Survey: IBRD, July- December 1975 . ................ 0.. . . ....... 11 Household Sample (incl. area cultivated) .*. 12 Market/Price Survey ....... o .......... ..... 16 Transporter Survey . .. 16 Origin/Destination Surveys ......4... ... 16 Special Surveys .0..00.00 . 000 . ........ 0 o*o 17 C. PATA COLLECTION ..... 00 .....0 . 0 0 .0.0 ..00 .........0 00 0 s The Base Survey - 1965 ................0.. ........ 18 The Follow-up Survey - 1975 .... . 0.0.. 0 .... 19 D. THE FRAMEWORK FOR THE ANALYSIS ............. .......... 20 III. FINDINGS A. REGIONAL STRUCTURES 1965-1975: COMPARATIVE PI.,TURE DRAWN FROM SECONDARY DATA SOURCES AND SPECIAL SURVEYS .........00......... ......................0 ... 28 1. Local Administrative Organization and Structure * 28 2. Social Services in the Study Area . 31 - Education ..00 .00..0.00..0.00 0...0.0....0000. 31 - Health ......... .....................o. 32 3. Infrastructure and Technical Services o ......... *. 36 Banking .0*000000000.0.............00........................... o 36 Tax Collection ................................ 36 Licensing/Registrations 00 0 .............0. .......... 36 Public Works Department .....o..................... 37 Water and Forestry Department ..........o ........ 37 Agriculture Service .........................oo ... 38 OPACA/Rural Engineering ...........o ............. 38  -2- Page No. 4. Agrict.lture: Area Potential and Area Produiction: 1965-1975 ...................... e . 41 5. Prices of Major Agricultural Outputs and Inputs: 1935-1974 . ........................... 46 B. ECONOMIC EXCHANGES BETW'EEN THE REGION AND THE REST-OF TaE-WORLD ............... o. .. oo.oo. ... oo. 50 1. Air Exports/Imports 1965: Volume and Cost o...., 50 2. Road Traffic: 1975 *e.oe. .........,e,, 52 The Local Road Transport Industry ....... 52 Transporters Operating Revenues and Costs 53 Freight and Passenger Transport Tariffs *.. 56 Area Demand for Transport 1975 ........... 56 Estimated Volume of Marketed Production ... 57 Results of O/D Surveys .............o.... 59 Vehicle Traffic .............. 59 Passenger Traffic .o ..... ,..... 64 C. THE ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF THE ROAD INVESTMENT o.... 67 1l Patterns of Crop Production........ 67 2. The Economic Benefits of the Road: The Producer Surplus Analysis ..............