Всемирная организация здравоохранения (ВОЗ / WHO) · Journal articles

The global impact of noncommunicable diseases : estimates and projections / Kenneth G. Manton

Всемирная организация здравоохранения
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are will decline more of survivors to condition. ".o,r<:'rm<:

of parameter which can be exammed decrement table is the life the table for of Aat death in the "",_","10 from cause A- It different from the mean died from cause at death for aU persons who structure have been the effects of across causes, removed. Thus, e,A can or time. In the a it Will be determined (i) if "n,P(",tH' diseases has conditions cause For recent years in life expectancy in United States of America resulted from an !nere'ase In the mean age at death for each of the Simultaneously With these chronic diseases of cancerinf',ga~prl creases the the of deaths from stroke these quantities are based on life-table the effects of differences in structure are removed, 50 that can be "''',",n,,''u and over

A

The second type of illustrate the economic chronic disease in an adult show the t"r'fr..·c that population.

-- 256

-

257 --

III

Heart disease

n"".ornp,'H

may be controlled reduction of of diabetes, con-

Across diseases, crrrhosis has the lowest mean and cancer, diabetes death, Stroke has the heart disease are intermediate.

The first set of data examined is the of deaths for each of the countries in 1980 (Table

across countries.

TABLE 1 P>u ... "' .......

1. MALADIES

_."V"".. AU MOMENT

DECES

DE un""'I'IIIult:

SIX PAYS, E1 RAPPORT ENTRE LA VALEUR lA PLUS

Male" - Hommes

Cancer Diabetes

Diab81.e

63,7 70,8 73.4 74,5

67.8

66 72.1 77,2

77A

615 65.9 Females

75,8 7 3 62 fi

70.3 72,0 77.7 74,1

109 1

59.2 10.1

" 12

74.5

72.4

61.5

Cancer

71,0

730 77,1 76,8

767 81.7

69.7 73,3 79,6 77,2

71

11 83,0

I 1

9

65A 14.3

L11

Total

o 24,3 1

258 A of the life who actually die of the (i.e. popuiatlon measure) is far less variable because the effects of 'XA have been removed. It also evident that the adjusted measure is much since it reflects the change In survival due to of the condition only in the affected by the conditions. Thus it is Fpr1F"'''''''r'lt~lTj\,,,, of the actual effects of ertmination of the condition for individuals, example, a to increase than

which part arise because of other causes. In variation occurs because this measure is highly sensitive the of deaths from a cause in ; see Table

rnr,n"!I1rv

n

It can be seen that the number of years that would be gained the individual due to the elimination of a given condition not vary strongly with the total life expec~ tancy in the country nor does it usually change much

259 -

contributions in Table 3 for four countries

or greater in increase in risk middle and late life. The noncommunicable diseases associated with such and losses are shown in Table 4 for the 1 980.

TABLE 3.

0.54

-

260 IN YEARS FROM CONDITIONS TO 1980, FOR THREE

ET

L'ESPERANCE DE MALADIes

HHOET

CanCl3r

%

tv/aies -

Ail

-0.46 0.04 -0.04 0-49 -0.15 0.07 50-64 -0.23 0.04 0.00 -0.01 65+ --0.08 -005 -010 --0 10

-006 -001 005

--0.37 0.30 0.39 1

OAO 39.8 0.02 0.01 0.24 0.05 lAO

46.9

-002 0.01 -0.02 0.02

-0.27 0.09 0.09

-0. 0.06 011

-0.11 --0.01 0.03

0.58

--0.96 0.94 17 0.87

114.3 228 12.0 29.0

-0.02 0.02 -001 0.02

0.13 0.17 0.21 072

··0.15 0.91 0.34 0.24

-004 0.02 0.00 0.00

-0.28 1.55 0,42 0.72

33.3 22.8 30A 24.1

Females - Femmes All ages Taus les ages

-0.10 0.27 0.13 0.05 0-49

-011 0.04 0.00 0.12

0.25 0.33 0.46 1.54

-0.23 1.42 0.68 0.66

-0.13 0.04 -0.02 0.05

4.27 1.97 13

100.0 100.0 100.0 000

-003 0.11 0.18 0.11 50-64

0.00 0.01 000 0.02

'0.05 0.02 000 0.05

-004 0.04 0.04 0.06

-0.07 001 -001 0.03

075 1.33 0.55 2

114.5 1.1 38.8

-0.08 0.13 ---0.02 65 0.01 003 --005 -004

-0.04 000 0.03

-004 009 0.06 0.27

-009 1 0.07 0.10

-005 O.

--47.0

9 15.5

0.02

0,49

-007 0.01 0.00 0.07

0.34 0.22 OAO 1 18

-0.10 1.07 0.57 0.50

-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00

0.21 2.08 1.24 1.43

48.7 62.8

1960

StroKe

53.9

71

1960 1980 2000 Heart disease 88.0

146.3

183.4

~

262 -

70

60-69 "10-"19 80-89

90-99

gramme,

7

8.

11.

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Тип документа Journal articles
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Источник Всемирная организация здравоохранения