Zambia - Second Education Project

Al4 6L/,- ZA ~~01q,u eb'1S-ZA.7 RESTRICTED Report No. PE-8a This report was prepared for use within the Bank and its affiliated organizations. They do not accept responsibility for its accuracy or completeness: The report may not be published nor may it be quoted as representing their views. INTERNATIONAL 'BANK FOR RECONS)TRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION A DOD A TZ A T 'Ut' AN E:DUCATION ]?ROJECT IN ZAMBIA (Second Education Project) October 29, 1969 Education Projects Department  CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS US$ 1.00 Kwacha 0.714 Kwacha 1.00 US$ 1.40 Kwacha 1 ,000,000= US$ 1,400,000  LmA.D.F. r A V r ZAIs4J. Page No. BASIC DATA SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i I. INTRODUCTION .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 1 II. HIGHEI EDUCATION IN ZAMBIA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 The Universiity of Zambia .1............ . . Other InstiLtutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 III. COST AUND FINAliCING . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 University Financing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Recurrent Expenditure ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Capital Expenditure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 IV. THE NEED FOR HIIGHER EDUCATI(N . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 ExLsting Ampower Situation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Projections of Manpower Requirements. 5 The Supply of High-level Manpawer. 6 V. THE PRWECT.6 A. Techn:Lcal Features. 6 B. Cost of the Project. 9 C. Implenentation of the Project .11 VI. RECOMMENDATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 This renort is based on the f'indinta of a mission to Zambia in May, 1969 composed of Messrs. C. P. van Dijk (economist) and L. Vera (arhitet!t nf the Rank und Mr- J C- Jones (technicAl Aduceation). con- sultant to the Bank.   A N N E X E 8 ANNEX No. 1 EduLcation in Zambia 2 Gorernment Recurrent Expenditure, 1964/65 - 1969 3 Prcojected Recurrent Expenditure for Education, 1969 - 1974 4 University of Zambia - Recurrent Expenditure, 1968 and 1969 5 University of Zambia - Capital Expenditure, 1965-1970 6 Eduscational. Attainment of Zamlbian Labor Force, 1965/66 7 Estimated Project; Costs 8 Estimated Annual Expenditures and looan Disbursements   ZAMBIA BASIC DATA - 1968 General Size of Country 290,000 square miles Total populat,ion (estimate): 4,100,000 Annual rate c,f population growth: 3.2% Average density of population: 14 inhabitants per square mile Gross domestic product $1,400 million GNP per inhabitant $325 Government current revenue as percent t of GDP: :30.4% Education Population aged 7-13 715,000 Enrollment in. primary schools: 84% of 7-13 age group Population aged 14-18: 371,000 Enrollment in secondary schools: 10.5% of 14-18 age group Education expenditure financed by Min . of RaujittAonn: a pn %-.%+ ropo% io of.n-P: CZ.0% as proportion of budget: recurrent 17.7% Total edi-ication e-endit4-e (including non-government): as proportion of GDP: 6.2% eri c--ita   APPRULISAL OF AN EDUC ATION PROJECT IN ZAMBIA SUMMARY iND CONCLUSIONS 4. hMe prnpoFted proiatt in designed to infrlaRe the Runnlv of h1ih level manpower in Zaunbia :Ln selected fields by providing extensions to the Schools Of Rngineering anti EVAli'atinn wt the Univarmitv of 7.nbhin anti the addition of hostels for 960 students. The total cost ig estimated at K 5.3 million (nr $7.4 miu11io 1nlding direet a inire fI-orig 0YPhPnge costs of 72% or K 3.8 million ($5.3 million). A Bank loan of $5.3 million is recommenied to meet thease foreign exchaenge noast. ii. BaWk assiY.tanCe in fir.ancing extensi^n-s t+o the University of Zazmbia- was requested by the government in March, 1968 as part of a larger education n,o,4aec. Thiv.g4rke ab-rwnicfl in April/n.4 -/r 19o68 the need +.Io at1+ensanci3 could not be evaluated on the basis of the available planning data. Cons3e- quntoQFl- tFhie 7\_ojic' wv%4,h became the ha-sis -Por af Be-1, lena ^-P A17 h1 m41 14^- J L_ ''' r- - ---- - . - - ---_a ..- I- * __ (Loan No. 592-ZA) d:ld not include University extensions. Implementation of thl4s pr-.4an+ 4. - -.nnaA4ng e4ne,+.41. A t..a .n,a.Pa..fa.r 4n_.. thso proJeet Ao pro::eedirg satisfactorAi. .aA new u for arb Y,nn;:ing for UniversLty extensions was presented by the government as a separate, secor.d eAu;to --,,4--t ir. WbUw-- I n1969 --A supreV-sa4rco, a%yJ&~ 4 =1CbVA VAIJ~ LAAL J.1UL MOL% J , -L7J7 , a.LEU. DaI4JPJ9J.L%W V W jJ OMVA ~ V%WJ~ planning data. This proposal was appraised in May, 1969 when a number of altwe.raltionso wlerwe n-de. .1 .1 J 114 1- 1 -'L,. - - 'I iii. C%rucial shnortages of highle evel IZMmuiLa ma=pVWer. ex'stML in 41 sec tors of the economy and all professionis; most positions requiring a University degree Mr= filled WiLth expatr,ates cU.usng highu labor costs and disc-nti-ut--y of tenure. Zambian:3 with a University degree numbered only 100 in 1964, the year of independence, and will not exceed 400 by 1970. P exlmwhile total requirements are estimated to rise from 3,650 in 1966 to 5,600 in 1970 and 1L0,000 in 1980. iv. The University of Zambia, the country;s only degree awarding institution of higher education, opened in 1966 and is rapidly becoming the main source of high-level m-anpower. Earolments, now 1,000 students, will grow to 3,400 in 1973 and 5,000 in the later seventies. In spite of this rapid increase, the University wili be unable to provide sufficient graduates to meet the demand by 1980. Its output of graduates between 1966 and 1980 is estimated at 6,750 or less than 707% or the country's estimated requirements. Expansion of the University is limited by the availability of qualified secondary school leavers. V. University enrollment by faculty is closely geared to meeting specific skilled manpower requirements by profession. Fields of study, identified as priority areas, are the sciences, including engineering, medicine and agriculture, and the training of secondary school teachers. vi. The proposed project would essist the School of Engineering and the School of Education to reach the 1973 enrollment targets, thus filling two of the most important gaps in Zambia's supply of high-level manpower. The School of Engineering, with about 360 students in 1973, will produce 80 engineers  - ii - annually. The School of Education, with a full-time student equivalent j of 670 in 1973, will train secondarv school teachers and nrimrarv and secondarv school principals. In addition, the proposed project would finance the onnnstruitinn of quffienint hnstsls to e,e'nmmndate the innrPased number nf students in these two schools. vii. The project is urgently needed to allow the University to develop according to its plan, and should be completed in 197. TPn mAt this target date, the University will start preparatory work, including archi- tects' design, before a Bank loan isobtain The gornment hopes that re- imbursement of the costs of this preparatory work will be made by the Bank if __d wh-r R.or loan 4S Mgade. -4li. Thse project uo' edirected_ 1- a .04ec =4si 4o beCre-eA with-1 V .L.LJ. .Lk~ JJ - % LI aU JJ fly .' J ~. A.W h w.S e'e U W. " in the University's existing building office, which is headed by a competent resident architect. ProcurementA wot" 'd bDe on tVLJLe bDasis Of Li-4eratAmI.ona '.L competitive bidding, except for small construction contracts of less than TK 10,00 It is. uu4 kl -thatI. &U ny oa. _ he cost&tinLcnr -;ill be