Togo - Country economic memorandum (Vol. 3 of 3) : Statistical annex

Report No. 3416-TO Togo Country Economic Memorandum (In Three Volumes) Volume Ill: Statistical Annex january 11, 1982 West Africa II Division A FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Document of the World Bank This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.  CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Currency Unit CFA Franc (CFAF) US$1.00 CFAF 270 1/ CFAF 1 million US$3,704 1/ The CFA Franc (CFAF) is tied to the French Franc (FF) in the ratio of FF 1 to CFAF 50. The French Franc is currently floating. On the date of the Economic Mission the exchange rate was US$1 _OCFAF 220.  FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY LIST OF TABLES 1/ 1.1 Population growth by region, 1960-85 1.8 Enrolment in education by region and sex, 1975-80 2.2 GDP at constant 1976 market prices by origin, 1970-80 2.4 GDP at constant 1976, prices, by use, 1970-80 3.1 Balance of payments 3.2 Projected balance of payments, 1980-90 4.1 Sectoral composition of plan investment, 1966-80 5.1 External public debt outstanding (including undisbursed), as of December 31, 1979 5.3 Projected debt service payments, 1981-91 5.5 Projected foreign aid disbursements, 1980-90 5.6 Past and projected external public debt, 1975-90 6.1 Treasury operations, 1972-81 7.1 Monetary survey, 1975-80 7.5 Distribution of credit by economic sector, 1975-80 11.1 Marketing of major export crops by OPAT, 1969/70-1979-80 11.2 Producer prices for major export crops, 1970-80 11.8 Value added, main foodcrops, 1972-80 11.14 Expected growth in agricultural production, food and cash crops, 1981-90 1/ A more comprehensive statistical annex is available in West Africa Programs II, Division A. The contents of this annex are indicated on the following pages. I This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of l their officiaL duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.   STATISTICAL ANNEX AVAILABLE IN WEST AFRICA PROGRAMS II DIVISION A LIST OF TABLES 1.1 Population growth by region, 1960-85 1.2 Population by age and sex, 1961-80 1.3 Evolution in health personnel by region, 1973-77 1.4 Water supply: district capitals, 1979-80 1.5 Village infrastructure and estimated water supply needs, 1977-78 1.6 Priority improvements desired by population of major towns, 1980 1.7 Household incomes Lome, 1978 1.8 Enrolment in education by region and sex, 1975-80 1.9 Enrolment in technical education, 1975/76-1979/80 1.10 Teacher:pupil ratios, repeater and attrition rates, primary and secondary schools, 1973-79 2.1 GDP at current market prices by origin, 1970-80 2.2 GDP at constant 1976 prices by origin, 1970-80 2.3 GDP by use, in current prices, 1970-80 2.4 GDP at constant 1976 prices, by use, 1970-80 2.5 Investment and savings, 1970-80 3.1 Balance of payments, 1970-80 3.2 Composition of exports, 1970-80 3.3 Composition of imports, 1970-79 3.4 Terms of trade 1970-80 4.1 Sectoral composition of plan investment, 1966-80 4.2 Financing of plan investment, 1966-79 4.3 Financing of development expenditures during the Third plan (1976-80) 4.4 Projected sectoral allocation and financing of development expenditure (Fourth plan) 5.1 External public debt outstanding (including undisbursed), as of December 31, 1979 5.2 Evolution of external public debt, 1970-80 5.3 Past debt service payments, 1975-80 5.4 Disbursements of grants and loans under foreign assistance, 1970-80 6.1 Treasury operations, 1972-81 6.2 Government revenue, 1972-81 6.3 Government revenue from OTP and OPAT, 1972-81 6.4 Government expenditure 1972-81 6.5 Budgeted and realized capital expenditure, 1976-80 6.6 Receipts and expenditures of local authorities, 1970-79 7.1 Monetary survey, 1975-80 7.2 Summary accounts of the Central Bank, 1975-80 7.3 Summary accounts of deposit money banks, 1975-80 7.4 Banking system claims on Government 1975-80 7.5 Distribution of credit by economic sector, 1975-80 7.6 Summary accounts of BTD, CNCA, and SNI, 1976-80 7.7 Credit to the private sector by banking institutions, 1975-80 7.8 Interest rates applied by the BCEAO, 1975-80 7.9 Interest rates on selected deposits with deposit money banks, 1975-80 7.10 Interest rates applicable to credits by deposit money banks, 1975-80  LIST OF TABLES, CONT. 8.1 Consumer price index (African families), 1970-80 8.2 Consumer price index (European families), 1970-80 8.3 Minimum guaranteed wages, 1970-80 8.4 Salary scale for workers in major sectors 1975-80 8.5 Salary scale of permanent civil servants, 1975-80 8.6 Employment and wage bill in the industrial sector, 1973-78 8.7 Central Government employment, 1970-80 8.8 Informal sector activities in Lome by category of activity 1977 8.9 Structure of employment, Lome and 5 major towns, 1979-80 8.10 Employment structure in Togo 1975-85 9.1 Turnover and employment in major industrial enterprises, 1975-78 9.2 Production and exports of phosphate rock, 1973-80 9.3 Direction of exports of phosphate rock, 1970-79 9.4 CTMB Income statement, 1976-80 9.5 CTMB Balance sheet, 1976-80 9.6 Tourism statistics, 1975-79 10.1 Consumption and production of electricity, 1975-79 10.2 Imports and consumption of petroleum products, 1976-80 10.3 STH : Purchases and sales of petroleum products, 1979-80 11.1 Marketing of major export crops by OPAT, 1969/70-1979/80 11.2 Producer prices for major export crops, 1970-80 11.3 Profits and losses of OPAT by main export crops, 1974/75-1979/80 11.4 Price structure of major cash crops, 1974/75-1979/80 11.5 Profits and losses of OPAT, 1969/70-1979-80 11.6 Allocation of OPAT surpluses, 1975/76-1979-80 11.7 Balance sheet of OPAT, 1970-80 11.8 Value added, main foodcrops, 1972-80 11.9 Agricultural production by region : area, yield and volume, 1973 11.10 Cultivated area by region--average farm size, 1973 11.11 Surplus and deficit regions for production of major foodcrops, 1978-79 11.12 Per capita food supplies Togo, 1978 11.13 Imports of major foodstuffs to Togo, 1974-79 11.14 Fertilizer use, 1975-78 11.15 Coffee, cocoa, cotton and palm oil production and value, 1972-80 11.16 Livestock in Togo, 1973 11.17 Production and imports of fish, 1973-80 11.18 Agricultural personnel and extension staff, 1976 and 1980 11.19 Proposed agricultural investment, 1981-85 11.20a Existing agricultural projects funded with foreign assistance 11.20b Future agricultural projects funded with foreign assistance 12.1 Road network, 1970-80 12.2 Vehicle registration and estimate of vehicle fleet 12.3 Fuel consumption, 1971-79 12.4 Cargo movements in the port of Lome, 1970-79 12.5 International air traffic, 1960-79 12.6 Railway traffic, passengers and freight, 1975-79  -4- Table 1.1 POPULATION GROWTH BY REGION 1960-85 (000's) Average annual 1960 1970 1975 1980 1985 Growth rate % Total Resident Population 1,458 1,955 2,215 2,503 2,838 2.7 of which Maritime 507 710 842 994 1,180 3.5 Plateaux 366 472 523 576 634 2.3 Centrale 193 299 328 359 393 2.9 La Kara 203 235 253 272 292 1.5 Savanna 189 239 269 302 339 2.3 It Data provided by the Togolese authorities and mission estimates. Note: A new census is expected in November 1981 which will provide more accurate population data.  Table 1.8 ENROLLMENT IN EDUCATION BY REGION AND SEX 1975-80 1974-75 1979-80 Unadjusted Net enroll- % Unadjusted Net enroll- enrolment ment % girls enrolment ment X girls Primary school (age 6-11) Maritime 110 76 34 135 92 41 Plateaux 99 68 36 118 80 35 Centrale 81 56 33 90 61 38 La Kara 85 61 33 93 63 41 Savanna 38 27 21 54 37 25 All Togo 91 63 34 114 77 38.5 All Togo Lower secondary (age 12-15) 20 10 20 46 29 25 All Togo Upper secondary (age 16-18) 4 - 16 9.3 - 14.5 All Togo Technical (age 12-18) 1.5 - 29 1.8 - 39 Source: Statistiques scolaires Ministere de 1'Education Nationale et de la Recherche Scientifique. Note: Unadjusted enrollment ratio includes students older and younger than the normal age of school attendance, as a fraction of the age-group. Net enrollment ratio excludes children younger or older than the normal age of school attendance, as a fraction of the age group.  Table 2.2: GDP AT CONSTANT 1976 MARKET PRICES BY ORIGIN, 1970-80 (In billions of CFA francs) 1/ 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980- Primary Sector 44.5 44.2 46.7 48.2 48.9 50.3 47.8 44.3 46.6 46.8 52.8 Agriculture 5o.~4 40.4 37.5 39.1 39.1 45.0 Food crops (28.7) (28,1) (24.9) (29.3) (29.6) (29.9) Export crops (11.7) (12.3) (12.6) (9.8) (9.5) (15.1) Others Livestock, fishing, forestry 9.9 7.4 6.8 7.5 7.7 7.8 Secondary Sector 19.7 19.6 22.9 25.3 27.3 25.5 30.3 35.3 36.8 37.2 32.7 Mining- 5.7 10.0 12.6 10.9 11.0 12.1 I Manufactures, handicrafts 9.9 10.3 10.5 8.9 10.0 9.9 'C Construction 7.4 6.9 9.6 14.3 13.3 7.7 1 Energy 2.5 3.1 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 Tertiary Sector 61.7 62.1 65.9 67.2 71.3 72.7 69.9 76.5 86.4 87.6 85.8 Transport 9.9 9.9 10.3 12.0 11.8 11.4 Commerce, tourism 4o.7 35.4 39.9 44.6 45.3 44.2 Other private services 10.1 10.1 11.1 14.4 14.4 14.2 Public services 12.0 14.5 15.2 15.4 16.1 16.0 GDP market prices 125.9 125.9 135.5 140.7 147.5 148.5 148.0 156.1 169.8 171.6 171.3 Per cent change from previous year 2.5 0.0 7.6 3.8 4.8 -0.7 -0.3 5.5 8.8 1.1 -0.2 Source: Direction du Plan, Division de la Coordination and mission estimates. 1/ Estimate. 2/ Including marketing of phosphates. Memorandum items: Terms of trade adjustment -12.9 -15.1 -20.3 -19.2 19.7 -13.8 0 -2.4 -10.9 -19.4 -20.3 Gross domestic income 113.0 100.8 115.2 121.5 167.2 134.7 148.0 153.7 158.9 152.2 151.0  Table 2.4: GDP IN CONSTANT 1976 PRICES, BY USE, 1970-80 (In millions of FCFA) 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979.L' 198011 1. Consumption 86.8 87.8 94.7 98.8 106.5 119.6 124.7 130.9 142.7 147.3 152.4 Private 2, (75.8) (74.3) (79.4) (84.5) (91.3) (loo.0) (102.5) (105.7) (117.2) (119.3) (124.4) Public (11.0) (13.5) (15.3) (14.3) (15.2) (19.6) (22.2) (25.2) (25.5) (28.0) (28.0) 2. Gross fixed investment 20.0 23.3 26.2 26.2 28.2 37.0 33.7 53.9 78.6 58.8 35.3 3. Change in Stocks 3.5 2.7 2.4 3.8 2.5 8.0 3.1 6.6 9.4 5.5 3.0 4. Resource balances 15.6 12.1 12.2 11.9 10.3 -16,1 -13.5 -35.3 -60.9 -40.0 -19.4 Exports (incl. NFS) (52.5) (56.4) (54.5) (48.8) (47.2) (29.3) (43.4) (43.4) (56.8) (59.6) (65.6) Imports (incl. NFS) (-36.9) (-44.3) (-42.3) (-36.9) (-36.9) (-45.4) (-56.9) (-78.7) (-117.7) (-100.6) (-85.0) 5. GDP at market prices 125.9 125.9 135.5 140.7 147.5 148.5 148.0 156.1 169.8 171.6 171.3, 6. Gross domestic savings 39.1 38.1 40.8 41.9 41.0 28.9 23.3 25.2 27.1 24.3 18.9 (2+3+4) 1/ Estimate. 2/ Residual. Source : Direction du Plan, Division de la Coordination and mission estimates.  -8- Table 3.1: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, 1970-80 (In billions of CFA francs) 1970 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1. Goods, services and transfers 3.2 -16.0 -5.9 -19.1 -50.3 -49.5 -22.9 Exports, f.o.b. 18.9 30.Z 38.0 48.0 58.2 52.7 80.7 of which: Phosphates (3.7) (16.5) (14.5) (21.0) (22.0) (22.9) (28.9) Cocoa (6.3) (5.4) (6.6) (8.4) (7.7) (8.9) (7.6) Coffee (2.7) (2.6) (5.2) (8.7) (8.2) (6.7) (6.3) Petroleum products--) (--) (--) (--) (12.0) (11.6) (26.U) Clinker (--) (--) (--) (--) (--) (--) (3.8) Imports, f.o.b. -18.5 -45.4 -43.2 -62.1 -98.7 -92.6 -94.2 of which: crude oil (--) () (--) (-5.6) (-11.3) (-11.0) (-22.5) Trade balance 0.4 -15.2 -5.2 -14.1 -40.5 -39.9 -13.5 Services (net)2-/ -1.5 -9.6 -9.6 -15.0 -21.8 -22.6 -24.4 of which:Freight and in- (-2.1) (-6.6) (-7.6) (-11.8) (-18.8) (-17.6) (-18.4) surance Unrequited transfers 4.3 8.8 8.9 10.0 12.0 13.0 15.0 Private (0.2) (0.7) (1.3) (1.3) (1.2) (1.5) (1.5) Public (4.1) (8.1) (7.6) (8.7) (10.8) (11.5) (13.5) 2.Debt Service -0.8 -3.2 -2.6 -- 7.7 -17.0 -29.3 Interest -0.2 -0.4 -0.8 -1.4 -5.5 -6.1 -7.1 PrinciDal -0.6 -2.8 -1.8 -3.0 -10.0 -15.1 -34.3 Rescheduling -- -- -- -- -- 14.9 37.5 Arrears 3/ -- -- -- 4.5 7.8 1.7 -14.0 Payment Through refinancing -- -- -- -- -- -12.4 -11.4 3.Capital account -3.8 23.9 10.1 30.8 60.4 5k, 42.1 Non-monetary capital (nett/-1.5 10.8 13.3 Z8.0 62.6 61.9 42.1 External borrowing (1.3) (10.8) (13.3) (2R.0) (55*0) (60.9) (41.1) Trust fund (IM) (--) (--) (--) (-) (1.8) (1.2) (1.0) Other (-2.8) (--) (-.) (--) (5.2) (-0.2) (__ Monetary capital -2.3 13.1 -3.2 2.8 -2.2 -5.3 -- 4.Errors and omissions -0.6 3.0 - M -lb.U U./ 3.- v . Overall balance (I through 4) -2.0 1.7 0.5 -6.3 4.6 -6.6 -4.7 5.Allocation of SDRS 5 -- - 0.5 0.5 6.Reserves (increase -) 51 -2.5 -1.7 -0.5 6.3 -2.6 6.1 4.26/ I/ Estimate. 2/ Excluding interest on foreign debt. 3/ Positive sign denotes accumulation; negative sign denotes pay off. 4/ Excluding payment of principal on foreign debt. 5/ Including foreign assets held by the Treasury. 6/ Including 4.5 use of IMF credits. Source: Data provided by the BCEAO, IMF, and mission estimates.  - 9 - Table 3.2 PROJECTED BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, 1980-90 (in billions of CFA francs) 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1990 Goods, services 1/ and transfers -22.9 -5.8 -1.3 2.6 4.0 3.0 -8.5 Exports f.o.b. 80.7 107.5 126.4 150.9 175.8 203.4 303.2 of which: Phosphates (28.9) (30.4) (33.9) (41.6) (48.5) (55.7) (89.0) Cocoa (7.6) (10.9) (11.7) (12.5) (13.4) (14.6) (14.9) Coffee (6.3) (6.4) (6.8) (8.3) (10.1) (11.9) (24.0) Petroleum products (26.0) (42.3) (52.1) (63.7) (77.3) (92.5) (126.6) Clinker (3.8) (8.4) (10.5) (12.8) (12.8) (12.8) (22.0) Imports, f.o.b. -94.2 r108.2 -122.6 -142.4 -164.7 -191.6 -299.7 of which: Petroleum products (- 33.5) (-47.7) (-57.6) (-69.7) (-83.6) (-99.6) (-143.5) Trade balance -13.5 - 0.7 3.8 8.5 11.1 11.8 3.5 Services (Net) -24.4 -25.1 -27.1 -29.9 -33.1 -36.8 -42.0 Unrequited transfers 15.0 20.0 22.0 24.0 26.0 28.0 30.0 Debt Service -29.3 -27.7 -27.0 -39.7 -35.6 -30.0 -31.3 Interest -7.1 -15.9 -13.4 -11.2 -9.0 -9.6 -14.6 Principal -34.3 -34.9 -28.9 -28.5 -26.6 -20.4 -16.7 Payment of arrears -14.0 -1.5 -1.5 - - - - Rescheduling 37.5 24.6 16.8 - - - - Refinancing -11.4 - - - - - - Capital account 45.7 18.2 18.1 18.3 21.6 28.0 38.0 Monetary capital 45.7 16.2 17.1 18.3 21.6 28.o 38.0 External borrowing 2/ (44.7) (15.8) (16.1) (17.3) (19.6) (26.0) (36.0) Other (1.0) (1.4) (1.0) (1.0) (2.0) (2.0) (2.0) Monetary capital - 2.0 1.0 - - - - Errors and ommissions 1.8 - - - - - Overall balance -4.7 -15.3 -10.2 -18.8 -10.0 1.0 -1.8 Allocation of SDRs 0.5 0.5 - - - _ - Reserves (increase -) 4.2 14.8 10.2 18.8 10.0 -1.0 1.8 Use of Fund credit 4.5 7.8 7.8 7.8 -1.0 -2.0 -3.0 Other -0.3 7.0 2.4 11.0 11.0 1.0 4.8 Memorandum items Net official reserves, end of-period 3/ 1.9 -12.9 -23.1 -41.9 -51.9 -50.9 - IMF -4.5 -12.3 -20.1 -27.9 -26.9 -24.9 - Other 6.4 -0.6 -3.0 -14.0 -25.0 -26.0 - Source: IMF and mission estimates 1/ Excluding interest payments 2/ Including refinancing 3/ Central Bank  Table 4.1: SECTORAL COMPOSITION OF PLAN INVESTMENT, 1966-80 (In billions of CFA francs and per cent) First plan (1966-70) Second plan (1971-75) Third plan (1976-80)!/ Total of three plans Amount Per cent Amount Per cent Amount Per cent Amount Per cent Administration 1.6 4.9 1.4 1.8 9.0 3.2 12.0 3.0 Transport and communications 12.5 38.0 22.3 28.4 125.8 44.5 182.2 46.2 Urban development 6.6 20.1 15.0 19.1J J Rural development 4.5 13.7 4.8 6.1 20.3 7.2 29.6 7.5 Industry and commerce 5.4 16.4 23.9 30.5 116.9 41.4 146.2 37.1 Social services 2.3 7.0 11.0 14.1 10.7 3.8 24.0 6.1 Total 32.9 100.0 78.4 100.0 282.7 100.0 394.0 100.0 1/ Financing secured 1976-79. Source: Data provided by the Togolese authorities and mission estimates.  - 11 - Table 5.1: EXTERNAL PUBLIC DEBT OUTSTANDING (INCLUDING UNDISBURSED), AS OF DECEMBER 31, 1979!' (In thousands of US dollars) Disbursed Undisbursed Total Per cent of total Suppliers' credits 86,409 -- 86,409 8.0 France 57,707 57,707 5.3 Spain 12.168 -- 12,168 1.1 Germany, Fed. Rep. of 5,539 -- 5,539 0.5 Other 10,995 -- 10,995 1.0 Financial institutions 380,286 48,551 428,837 39.7 France 152,567 9,633 162,200 15.0 Switzerland 56,685 25,276 81,961 7.6 Belgium 44,645 13,642 58,287 5.4 United Kingdom 51,014 -- 51,014 4.7 Multiple lenders 18,714 -- 18,714 1.7 Austria 16,656 -- 16,656 1.5 Netherlands 15,562 -- 15,562 1.4 Other 24,443 -- 24,443 2.3 Multilateral loans 108,917 80,352 189,269 17.5 IDA 30,597 43,875 74,472 6.9 European Dev. Fund 25,953 -- 25,953 2.4 African Dev. Bank 9,960 14,565 24,525 2.3 African Dev. Fund 8,030 12,308 20,338 1.9 IMF Trust Fund 14,176 -- 14,176 1.3 European Investment Bank 9,515 1,158 10,673 1.0 Other 10,686 8,446 19,132 1.8 Bilateral loans 275,466 100,353 375,819 34.8 Germany, Fed. Rep. of 143,732 17,581 161,313 14.9 France 53,763 46,673 100,436 9.3 Spain 38,712 17,042 55,754 5.2 Switzerland 7,548 8,811 16,359 1.5 Canada 14,178 470 14,648 1.4 Danemark 11,176 8 11,184 1.0 Other 6,357 9,768 16,125 1.5 Total 851.078 229,256 1,080,334 100.0 1/ Includes only debt committed Jan.l, 1900-Dec. 31, 1980; debt repayable in foreign currency and goods. Source: IBRD, External Debt Division.  - 12 - Table 5.3 PROJECTED DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS, 1981-91 (amounts in US$ millions) Pro ected Debt Service PaYbents 1981 1982 1983 194 195_ __198 1987 198 1989 1990 1991 A. Total Debt Service Originally Scheduled Li 210.6 165.8 153.0 132.1