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Colombia - Economic position and prospects (Vol. 2 of 2) : Statistical appendix

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FiLE ((fry Report No. 3222-CO Economic Position and Prospects of Colombia (In Two Volumes) Volume II: Statistical Appendix February 27, 1981 Latin America and Caribbean Regional Office FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Document of the World Bank This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without Woild Bank authorization. Currency Unit: Peso Exchange Rate Effective February 2, 1981 US$1.00 = Col.$51.45 Col$1.00 = US$0.01944 Average Exchange Rate (Buying) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 US$1.00 = Col$31.202 Col$34.976 Col$36.923 Col$39.252 Col$42.587 Col$1.00 = US$0.03205 US$o.02859 US$0.02708 US$0.02548 US$0.02348 1980 US$1.00 = Col$ 47.283 Col$1.00 = US$0.02115 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY This report is based on the findings of an economic mission to Colombia in May 1980, composed of Messrs. George Gebhart (Chief of Mission), Jose Sokol (Economist) and Branko Grdjic (Statistician). This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. STATISTICAL APPENDIX Table of Contents Population and Employment Table 1.1 Population, Natural Increase and Migration, 1960-1980 Table 1.2 Employment by Economic Activity in Selected Years, 1951-79 Table 1.3 Unemployment Rates in Four Cities, 1963-1979 Table 1.4 Urban Underemployment and Participation Rates in Four Cities, 1971-79 Table 1.5 Income Distribution in Colombia According to Seven Estimates Table 1.6 Employment by Sectors in Four Cities: Bogota, Cali, Medellin and Barranquilla, 1974-79 National Accounts Table 2.1 Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost by Sector, 1960-1979 Table 2.2 Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost by Sector in 1970 Prices, 1960-1979 Table 2.3 Gross Domestic Product by Type of Expenditure, in Current Market Prices, 1960-1979 Table 2.4 Gross Domestic Product by Type of Expenditure, in Constant Market Prices, 1960-1979 Table 2.5 National Income Components, 1960-78 Table 2.6 Investment and Its Financing, 1960-1979 Table 2.7 Personal Income, 1960-78 Table 2.8 Implicit Price Deflators for Gross Domestic Product, 1958-79 Table 2.9 Incremental Capital - Output and Domestic Savings Ratios, 1960-1979 Table 2.10 Sector Wages and Salaries as Percentage of Sector Value Added and of Total Wages and Salaries, 1950-78 Trade and Payments Table 3.1 Balance of Payments, 1960-79 Table 3.2 Central Bank Gross Receipts of Foreign Exchange, 1960-79 Table 3.3 Central Bank Disbursements of Foreign Exchange, 1960-79 Table 3.4 Supply and Distribution of Green Coffee, 1958-59 to 1979-80 Table 3.5 New York and Domestic Coffee Prices, Real and Nominal, 1967-79 Table 3.6 Crude Petroleum Production, Apparent Domestic Consumption and Exports, 1958-79 Table 3.7 Export Pegistrations by Main Products, 1960, 1965, 1967, 1970-79 Table 3.8 Customs Clearance of Merchandise Exports, 1960-79 Table 3.9 Minor Exports Exchange Surrender by Main Products, 1960, 1967, 1970, 1975-79 Table 3.10 Advance and Normal Merchandise Export Exchange Surrender, by Quarter, 1970-79 ii Table 3.11 Reimbursable and non-Reimbursable Import Registrations, 1958-79 Table 3.12 Import Registrations by Economic Category, 1960, 1965, 1967, 1970 and 1975-79 Table 3.13 CIF Imports, by Principal Product Groups, 1960-77 Table 3.14 Direction of Trade, 1960, 1965, 1967, 1970, 1975-79 Table 3.15 International Monetary Reserves of the Central Bank, 1960, 1965, 1967, 1970, 1975-79 Table 3.16 Official Market Rates of Exchange by Quarter, 1967-80 Table 3.17 Balance of Payments, Export Projections, 1978-90 Table 3.18 Balance of Payments, Import Projections, 1978-90 Table 3.19 Summary Balance of Payments, 1978 (Actual), 1979 (Preliminary), 1980-85, 1990 (Projections) External Debt Table 4.1 External Public Debt Outstanding Including Undisbursed as of December 31, 1979, Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency and Goods Table 4.2 Service Payments, Commitments, Disbursements and Outstanding Amounts of External Public Debt, Projections Based on Debt Outstanding Including Undisbursed as of December 31, 1979, Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency and Goods Table 4.3 External Public Debt Outstanding Including Undisbursed as of December 31, 1979, Debt Repayable in Local Currency Table 4.4 Service Payments, Commitments, Disbursements and Outstanding Amounts of External Public Debt, Projections Based on Debt Outstanding Including Undisbursed as of December 31, 1979, Debt Repayable in Local Currency Public Finances Table 5.1 Public Sector Resources for Investment, 1974-78 Table 5.2 Analysis of Consolidated Public Sector Finances, 1972-78 Table 5.3 National Government Operations, 1974-79 Table 5.4 National Government Revenues, 1972-79 Table 5.5-1 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1974-79 Table 5.5-2 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1974-79 Table 5.5-3 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1974-79 Table 5.5-4 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1974-79 Table 5.5-5 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1974-79 Table 5.5-6 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1974-78 Table 5.6 Public Sector Transfers, 1972-78 Table 5.7 Social Security System Revenues and Expenditures, 1974-79 Table 5.8 Buoyancies with Respect to GDP of National Government Revenues, 1972-79 Table 5.9 Tax Burden, 1972-79 Table 5.10 Projections of the National Government Operations 1979-85 Table 5.11 Public Sector Investment Program and its Financing, 1978-1985 iii Money and Credit Table 6.1 Summary Accounts of the Financial System, 1975-1979 Table 6.2 Summary Accounts of the Monetary Authorities, 1975-1979 Table 6.3 Summary Accounts of the Commercial Banks, 1975-1979 Table 6.4 Summary Accounts of the Specialized Banks, 1975-1979 Table 6.5 The Money Supply and the Money Multipliers, 1970-79 Table 6.6 Composition and Growth of the Money Supply 1960-1979 Table 6.7 Commercial Bank Loans, by Quarter, 1960-1978 Table 6.8 Banking System Loans, by Quarter, 1960-1978 Table 6.9 Bogota and Medellin Stock Exchanges, 1960-1979 Agriculture Table 7.1 Production of Principal Crops, 1962-1980 Table 7.2 Area Under Cultivation, Principal Crops, 1962-1980 Table 7.3 Crop Yields per Hectare, 1962-80 Table 7.4 Cattle Population and Extraction, 1963-79 Table 7.5 Gross Value of Agricultural Production, 1950-79 Table 7.6 Indices of Physical Volume of Gross Agricultural Production, 1950-79 Table 7.7 Agricultural Gross Value Added, in Constant 1970 Prices, 1950-79 Table 7.8 Price Deflators for Agriculture, non-Agriculture, and Total GDP, 1950-78 Table 7.9 Loans Extended to the Agricultural Sector, 1970-79 Table 7.10 Estimated Farm Prices and Support Prices for Principal Commodities, 1950-1978 Table 7.11 Fertilizer Production and Plant Nutrient Supply, 1970-79 Table 7.12 Census Farms by Size, 1960 and 1970/71 Table 7.13 Census Farms and Farmland by Tenure and Size, 1960 and 1970/71 Table 7.14 Regional Groupings of Municipios with High Concentrations of Small Farms, by Coffee and Non-Coffee Areas Table 7.15 Value of Principal Agricultural Exports, 1970-79 Table 7.16 Volume of Principal Agricultural Exports, 1971-79 Table 7.17 Value of Principal Agricultural Imports, 1971-79 Table 7.18 Per Capita Net Availabilities of Foods and Principal Nutrients, 1948, 1957, 1964/66, 1970 and 1976 Table 7.19 Area Planted with Improved Seed for Selected Crops, 1970-1979 Industry Table 8.1 Increases in Factory Employment, 1953-76 Table 8.2 Indicators of Industrial Domestic Demand, 1953-76 Table 8.3 Structure of Manufacturing Industry by Size, 1970, 1974-76 Table 8.4 Paid Employment in Manufacturing Industries by Type of Production, 1953-76 Table 8.5 Domestic Manufacturing Output and Imports by Type of Production, 1958-76 Table 8.6 Commercial Bank Credit to the Manufacturing Sector, 1953-76 Table 8.7 Industrial Exports, 1965, 1967, 1970-79 Table 8.8 Proportion of Industrial Exports in Gross Value of Industrial Output, 1967-76 Table 8.9 Nominal and Real Salaries in Industry, 1970-1978 iv Wages and Prices Table 9.1 Consumer Price Indices for Bogota, Medellin and the Nation, 1960-1980 Table 9.2 Consumer Price Indices by Expenditure Category, 1970-80 Table 9.3 Wholesale Price Indices, by Main Commodity Group, 1970-1980 Table 9.4 W4holesale and Consumer Price Indexes and Growth Rates, 1970-1980 Table 9.5 Average Annual Increases in Selected Price Indicators, 1960-79 Table 9.6 Price Indexes of Construction Materials in Bogota, 1970-79 Foreign Assistance Table 10.1 Loan Commitments by Agency, 1965, 1970-79 Table 10.2 IBRD Loans and IDA Credits Committed, 1949-79 Human Resources Table 11.1 Student Population by Level of Education, Public and Private, 1963-1979 Table 11.2 Pupil Enrollment in Primary School, 1963-1979 Table 11.3 Pupil Enrollment in Secondary School by Type of Curriculum, 1963-1979 Table 11.4 Enrollment in Colombian Universities, Public and Private, by Course of Studies, 1963-1978 Table 11.5 First Semester Enrollment in Universities According to Type of Program and Course of Studies, 1978 Table 11.6 Ratio of Pupils/Teacher in Primary and Secondary School, 1963-79 Table 11.7 Number of University Professors by Type of Academic Field and Dedication, 1978 Table 11.8 Educational Level of the Labor Force as Reported in the National Censuses' 1951, 1964 and 1973 Table 11.9 Distribution by Programs of SENA Students 1970-79 Table 11.10 National and Educational Budgets, 1970-1980 Table 11.11-1 Ten Main Causes of Death among Pre-School Children 1970, 1972-77 Table 11.11-2 Ten Main Causes of Death among Pre-School Children, 1970, 1972-1977 Table 11.11-3 Ten Main Causes of Death among All Ages, 1970, 1972-1977 Table 11.12 Indirect Indications of Nutritional Status, 1963-76 table 11.13 Recommended and Available Average Daily per Capita Dosage of Calories and Nutrients for the Colombian Population and Percentage of Adequacy of Supply, 1976 Table 11.14 Percentage of Adequacy of Calories and Nutrient Consumption in the Diet of Families from Various Geographical Areas Table 11.15 Annual Needs for Basic Food Groups for Human Consumption and Their Availability, 1966-1978 Table 1.1: COLCMBIA: POPULAT'ION, NATURAL INCREASE AND MIGRATION, 1960-1980 Mid-Year Birth Rate Per Death Rate Per Natural Increase Net Year Population 1,OOO Population 1,000 Population/e Per 1,000 Population Migration ('_) . Po ,_('000) 1960 15,754 59 12 27 1.9 1961 16,275 39 11 28 2.7 1962 16,814 4O 11 29 4.6 1963 17,367 39 10 29 11.5 1964/b 17,926 39 10 29 10.5 1965 18,488 37 10 27 14.5 1966 19,052 36 9 27 5.2 1967 19,617 35 9 26 5.0 1968 20,179 34 9 25 15.1 1969 20,730 33 8 25 -0.8 1970 21,266 32 7 25 2.8 1971 21,785 32 7 25 -3.8 1972 22,291 31 7 24 ... 1973/c 22,794 50 7 23 ... 197 4Ta 23,309 29 7 22 ... 19754R 23,847 29 7 22 ... 197 4a 24,444 29 7 22 1977)! 25,016 28 7 21 ... 1978-/a 25,573 28 7 21 ... 197 9a 26,122 28 7 21 1980/a 26.670 - 28 7 21 ... ... = negligible za estimate , 1964 population census 1973 population census T Based on birth registrations and census data. Based on death registrations. Around 1967/68 an administrative reform in data collection on deaths took place which reduced manpower allocated to this task and hence is likely to have increased under-reporting of deaths in subsequent years. Source: DANE and Ministry of Health. Table 1.2 - COLOMBIA: EMPLOYMENT BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN SELECTED YEARS (000's) /f 1951-79 1951 1964 1970 1973 1978 1979 Men Women Total Men Women Total Total Men Women Total Men Women Total Men 01omen ota1 Agriculture 1991.0 96.1 2087.1 2311.0 116.0 2427.0 2350.1 1707.6 68.8 1776.4 305.5 29.5 335.0 26.3 9.3 35.6 Mining 46.6 16.5 63.1 61.2 20.1 81.3 30.3 37.6 15.8 53.4 22.4 1.6 24.C 8.5 1.6 10.1 Industry 313.1 162.3 475.4 476.6 179.3 655.9 859.0 640.4 277.6 918.0 832.1 424.4 1256.5 473.0 2S7.8 760.8 El./Gas/Water 10.3 0.5 10.8 12.2 1.0 13.2 26.2 25.0 5.3 30.3 21.7 2.2 23.9 15.5 3.0 18.5 Construction 135.2 1.9 137.1 217.2 3.5 220.7 222.2 319.5 7.5 327.0 329.1 7.4 336.5 154.0 9.4 163.4 Commerce/Hotels 163.2 47.C 210.2 331.9 108.6 440.5 754.6 525.4 284.6 810.0 722.0 447.7 1169.7 407.2 449.4 656.6 Transport 127.9 6.3 134.2 179.5 12.3 191.8 230.5 243.2 24.3 267.5 298.0 20.4 318.4 169.5 15.1 184.6 Finance - - - - - - 87.8 77.7 40.1 117.8 134.9 72.0 206.9 126.2 54.1 180.3 Personal Serv. 243.0 374.0 617.0 374.2 551.8 926.0 1206.1 432.4 668.8 1106.2 626.3 767.7 1394.1 346.6 549 e. 806.2 Other 119.6 19.4 139.0 138.2 39.4 177.6 - 139.2 53.5 192.7 1.6 3.4 5.0 - - - No Information /b - - 256.9 118.6 375.4 6.3 8.3 14.6 0.4 - 0.4 Total 3149.9 724.0 3873.9 4102.1 1032.1 5134.1 5766.8 4410.0 1564.7 5974.7 3299.9 1784.6 5084.6 1727.3 1089.' 2P16.7 /a In 1951 and 1964 the figures are for the economically active population and in 1970 and 1973 they are for the occupied population. /b This category was included in the 1973 census only. /c This survey covers all the urban areas only. 7d This survey covers 4 cities onlv: Cali,Bogota, Medellin and Baranquilla, uecember 1979. Source: Census for 1951, 1964. Muestra for 1973, Census published in August 1975; for 1970. 1978-and 1979 Encuesta de Hogares. !<-., -3 Table 1.3 - COLOMBIA: UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IN FOUR CITIES, 1965-1979 Bogota Medellin Cali Barranquilla March 1965 9.2 12.0 13.2 - June 1965 8.8 10. /b- - September 1965 9.7 -a 11.8 - December 1965 8.0 9.7- - - March 1966 10.1 1C.6 - - June 1966 11.6 11 /b September 1966 9.6 - - - December 1966 9.2 - - 16.0 March 1967 16.1 - - / - June 1967 12.7 - -14.9 c September 1967 10.6 14. = - i8.4/ December 1967 - - - - March 1968 13.5 - - - June 1968 11.6 - 14.9,c - September 1968 11.2 - - - December 1968 9.8 - - - March 1969 11.0 - - - June 1969 11.6 - - - September 1969 8.9 - - - December 1969 6.9 - - - March 1970 8.8 - - - June 1970 7.9 - - - October 1971 8.4 12.7 10.7 15.4 October 1972 6.6 13.0 13.3 14.7 June 1974 11.1 13.4 12.1 19.3 October 1974 10.0 12.9 12.5 16.2 March 1975 11.3 - - - September 1975 8.3 14.1 10.9 14.7 March 1976 9.4 13.9 13.8 12.3 June 1976 8.4 13.1 11.0 11.1 September 1976 8.8 13.3 12.6 10.7 November 1976 8.1 12.9 8.7 9.1 March 1977 8.9 12.7 11.5 10.6 May 1977 7.8 15.5 10.0 8.8 September 1977 7.2 13.7 11.9 8.3 November 1977 6.5 11.4 8.4 7.3 April 1978 9.0 12.7 10.6 8.2 June 1978 7.4 - - - September 1978 6.7 12.4 9.1 6.9 March 1979 6.5 15.5 11.8 8.6 September 1979 7.6 12.6 11.1 5.9 December 1979 6.3 15.4 9.6 4.5 /a November; /b July; /c May; /d October. Source:- DANE, Boletin Mensual de Estad.stica, Bogota, various issues. Table 1.14 - COLOMBIA: URBAN UNDEREMPLOYMENT AND PARTICIPATION RATES IN FOUR CITIES, 1971-79 /a Nov.- Oct. Nov.- Mar.- Nov.- May- Nov.- Dec. Nov. June Dec. Oct. Apr. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. April June Sept. Dec. 1971 1972 1974 1974 1975 1976 1976 1976 1976 1977 1977 1977 1977 1978 1978 1978 1979 Underemployment Rates/ Barranquilla 21.9 16.0 24.8 19.1 22.3 19.2 15.8 15.2 15.4 14.3 15.2 9.6 10.2 11.4 .. 9.2 7.3 Bogota 12.5 14.1 17.9 16.5 16.7 17.4 15.0 11.6 14.2 14.0 12.6 12.6 12.1 15.2 9.9 14.2 17.1 Cali 17.8 15.8 15.8 15.9 17.8 19.5 23.1 18.2 15.3 12.6 20.2 16.6 10.5 14.0 .. 10.6 8.7 Medellin 26.1 17.9 11.9 12.6 19.0 18.4 21.1 17.9 14.9 13.3 19.7 20.0 15.2 17.4 .. 16.4 17.7 Total/ 15.0 17.8 17.2 15.4 16.9 18.1 17.6 14.3 14.7 13.7 15.6 14.4 12.2 15.0 .. 13.4 14.7 Participation Rates Barranquilla 33.7 33.8 35.8 34.3 33.8 33.5 34.1 34.6 35.7 32.0 33.2 32.8 31.7 33.7 .. 33.2 32.7 Bogota 33.5 32.3 37.9 35.3 35.7 36.7 37.0 36.0 37.2 36.8 36.7 36.7 36.2 36.8 39.3 37.9 40.3 Cali 34.6 33.9 36.5 35.4 35.4 38.0 36.9 37.1 36.9 37.5 38.3 38.9 38.1 38.5 .. 40.4 44.2 Medellin 31.0 34.8 34.6 34.2 33.6 33.8 33.2 35.6 35.9 34.9 36.1 37.6 37.3 37.6 *- 37.8 40.7 Total/ - 32.0 36.7 32.8 35.0 36.0 35.9 36.0 36.7 36.0 36.5 36.8 36.2 36.9 *- 37.8 40.2 /a Provisional Figures. 7b Underemployed is based on the number of hours worked compatred with the number desired and wages received. /c Weighted total shares of the four cities. Source: National Statistics Department (DANE). Table 1-5 _ COLOMBIA: INCOME DISTRIBUTICN IN COLOMBIA ACCORDING TO SEVEN ES

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