Peru - Major development policy issues and recommendations (Vol. 2 of 2) : Statistical appendix

Report No. 3438-PE PERU: Major Development Policy Issues and Recommendations (In Two Volumes) FILE COPY Volume 11: Statistical Appendix April 27, 1981 Latin America & the Caribbean Regional Office FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Document of the World Bank This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.  CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS The exchange rate is being adjusted daily roughly in line with the difference between domestic and international inflation. The exchange rate and currency equivalents were as follows: Currency Unit = Sol (SI.) 1979 1980 US$1 = S/.224.55 S/.289.2 S/.1000 X US$ 4.45 US$ 3.46  FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY VOLUME II TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Population and Human Resources Table 1.1 Total and Urban Population by Department, 1940-72.... 1 1.2 Projected Population by Age, 1970-79................ 2 1.3 Projected Population by Area and Sex, 1970-79........... 3 1.4 Projected Labor Force, 1970-79 ...................... 4 1.5 Unemployment and Underemployment Rates, 1970-79....... 5 1.6 Labor Force by Sector and Occupational Category, 1970-79........................................ 6 1.7 Prevalence of Malnutrition in Children under Six According to Weight for Age Criteria .... .............. 7 1.8 Per Capita Calorie Consumption 1971/72, 1976, 1979 ...... 8 1.9 Neo-Natal Mortality Rates for Peru and Selected Countries of Latin America and Europe .................. 9 1.10 Ten Most Frequent Forms of Transmittable Diseases ........ 10 1.11 Ranking of Causes of Death (Children Hospital, 1971-79).. 11 TI. National Accounts Table 2.1 GDP by Major Sectors (Constant Prices) 1950-79 . .12 2.2 GDP by Sectors (Current Prices) 1970-79.............. 13 2.3 GDP by Sectors (Constant Prices) 1970-79 . 14 2.4 GDP by Sectors, Implicit Deflators, 1970-79 .......... 15 2.5 GDP by Expenditures (Current Prices) 1950-79............. 16 2.6 GDP by Expenditures (Constant Prices) 1950-79......... 17 2.7 GDP by Expenditures, Implicit Deflators, 1950-79........ 18 2.8 National Income by Sources 1970-79. ........ 19 2.9 Domestic Income by Sources, 1970-79 ...................... 20 2.10 Domestic Income (Excluding Mining and Agriculture) by Sources, 1970-79 ............. 21 2.11 National Income by Sources, 1970-79.................. 22 2.12 Real Annual Household Income by Income Group, 1971/72 to 1975/79...................................... 23 2.13 Real Annual Household Income by Areas, 1971/72 to 1975/79. .................................... 24 2.14 Gross Domestic Product by Geographic Region, 1970-79 .... 25. 2.15 Growth Indices of the GDP by Geographic Region, 1970-79,. 26 III. Balance of Payments Table 3.1 Summary Balance of Payments, 1970-80. .. . . . 27 3.2 Merchandise Exports by Commodity, 1970-80............... 28 3.3 Merchandise Imports by Major Categories, 1970-79....... 29 3,4 Direction of Trade, 1968-78 . 30 This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.  - II - III. Balance of Payments (Continued) Table 3.5 Average Annual Exchange Rate, 1970-80 ..................... 31 3.6 Net International Reserves of the Banking System ........... 32 1970-80. IV. External Debt Table 4.1 External Public Debt Outstanding Including Undisbursed as of December 31, 1979 ........ ........................ 33 4.2 Service Payments, Commitments, Disbursements and Outstanding Amounts of External Public Debt, 1970-79 .... 36 V. Public Finance Table 5.1 Central Government Operations 1974-80 . .45 5.2 Central Government Deficit and its Financing, 1974-80 .. 46 5.3 Operations of the Social Security Administration, 1974-79 . .47 5.4 Operations of Decentralized Agencies, 1974-79 . .48 5.5 Operations of the Municipality, 1974-79 . .49 5.6 Operations of the Consolidated State Enterprises, 1974-79 . .50 5.7 Summary of Public Sector Operations, 1974-8 . . 51 5.8 Structure of Central Government Employees, 1970-78 .. 52 5.9 Structure of Central Government Employees, by Sector and Grades, 1970 .. 53 5.10 Structure of Central Government Employees, by Sector and Grades, 1980 .. 54 VI. Money and Banking Table 6.1 Summary Accounts of the Central Bank 1973-79 .55 6.2 Summary Accounts of the Banking System, 1973-79 .56 VII. Agriculture Table 7.1 Agricultural Production, 1970-79 ..57 7.2 Volume of Principal Agricultural Product Imports, 1970/74, 1975-79 ............., 58 7.3 Value of Principal Agricultural Product Imports, 1970/74, 1975-79 ..59 7.4 Indices of Apparent per Capita Food Consumption, 1963-79 60 7.5 Yield per Ha. by Crops, 1970-76 ,... 61 7.6 Yield per Ha. by Crops, Region, and Method of Cultivation, 1970-76 ..62 7.7 New Loans of Agricultural Banks by Maturity and Sub- Sector, 1970-79 ..63 7.8 New Loans of Agricultural Banks by Beneficiary, 1970-79 64 7.9 Short-Term Loans by Agricultural Banks by Beneficiary, 1970-79 ............................65  - iii VII. Agriculture (Continued) Table 7.10 New Medium- and Long-Term Loans of Agricultural Banks by Beneficiary, 1970-79 ............ .............. 66 7.11 Portfolio of Commercial Banks, Agricultural Loans, 1970-79 ................................................. 67 VIII. Industry Table 8.1 Value Added in the Manufacturing Sector (Current Prices) 1970-79 ................................................. 68 8.2 Value Added in the Manufacturing Sector (Constant Prices), 1970-79 .................. ..................... 69 8.3 Volume Index of Manufacturing Production, 1971-80 .. 70 8.4 Gross Value of Manufacturing Production, 1971-78 .. 71 8.5 Value Added in the Manufacturing Sector (Current Prices) 1971-78 ................................................. 72 8.6 Value Added in the Manufacturing Sector (Constant Prices) 1971-78 ................................................. 73 8.7 Employment in Manufacturing, 1971-78 . . 74 8.8 Fixed Assets in Manufacturing, 1971 and 1977 . .75 8.9 Fixed Investments in Manufacturing, 1971, 1975, 1978 .. 76 IX. Prices Table 9.1 Consumer Price Indices for Lima by Components, 1966-80 77 9.2 Consumer Price Indices for Six Main Cities, by Components 1967-79 .78 9.3 Wholesale Price Indices, 1960-79 ..... .................... 79 X. Projections Table 10.1 Summary Forecast of Consolidated Banking System Accounts, 1979-85 . .80 10.2 Projection of Central Government Operations on Current Accounts, 1979-85 ..81 10.3 Projection of Consolidated Public Sector Operations, 1979-85 . .82 10.4 Balance of Payments Projection, 1979-85 . . 83 10.5 Export Projections, 1979-85 ..84 10.6 Tmport Projections, 1979-85 ..85 10.7 Projection of GDP by Sector of Origin, 1979-85. 86 10.8 Projection of GDP by Expenditure (Current Prices), 1979-85 .....,,..... 87 10.9 Projection of GDP by Expenditure (Constant Prices), 1979-85 .... 88   Table 1.1: PERU: TOTAL AND URBAN POPULATION BY DEPARTMENT, 1940-721/ 1940 1961 1972 Urban- Urban-/ Urban-/ Total Absolute % Total Absolute % Total Absolute % Total 6,207,967 2,197,133 35.3 9,906,746 4,698,178 47.4 13,572.052 8,086,689 59.6 Amazonas 65,137 26,648 40.9 118,439 45,977 38.8 196,469 66,754 34.0 Ancash 424,975 97,183 22.8 582,598 193,376 33.1 726,665 399,117 46.7 Apurdmac 258,094 36,936 14.3 288,223 55,116 19.8 307,805 71,595 23.3 Arequipa 263,077 155,144 58.9 388,881 250,746 64.4 530,528 433,186 81.7 Ayacucho 358,991 85,601 23.8 410,772 103,900 25.2 459,747 153,603 33.4 Cajamarca 494,412 69,154 13.9 746,938 110,966 14.8 916,331 161,641 17.6 Prov. Const. de Callao 88,287 81,268 98.7 213,540 204,990 95.9 315,605 312,332 99.0 Cuzco 486,592 122,552 25.1 611,972 198,341 32.4 712,918 256,640 36.0 Ruancavelica 244,595 37,843 15.4 302,817 57,736 19.0 331,155 70,534 21.3 Huanuco 234,024 43,815 18.7 328,919 69,653 21.1 420,764 114,418 27.2 Ica 140,898 62,225 44.1 255,930 137,589 53.7 357,973 256,034 71.5 JunIn 428,855 167,614 39.0 521,210 255,752 49.0 691,130 415,229 60.1 La Libertad 383,252 119,071 31.0 582,243 243,056 41.7 806,368 477,470 59.2 Lambayeque 192,890 98,501 51.0 342,446 211,616 61.8 515,363 376,710 73.1 Lima 828,298 630,173 76.0 2,031,051 1,752,277 82.2 3,485,411 3,274,039 93.9 Loreto 168,611 54,624 32.4 337,094 130,119 38.6 494,935 245,783 49.7 Madre de Dios 4,950 1,306 26.3 14,890 3,783 25.4 21,968 9,328 42.5 Moquegua 34,152 8,342 24.4 51,614 24,638 47.7 74,573 52,966 71.0 Pasco _- - 138,369 49,014 35.4 176,750 105,753 59.8 Piura 408,605 145,276 35.5 668,941 297,828 44.5 854,668 443,636 51.9 Puno 548,371 71,079 12.9 686,260 124,147 18.0 779,594 186,838 24.0 San MartTm 94,843 52,797 55.6 161,763 95,784 59.2 224,310 131,231, 58.5 Tacna 36,349 19,283 53.0 66,024 45,980 69.6 95,623 76,212 79.7 Tumbes 25,709 10,698 41.6 55,814 33,794 60.5 75,339 55,640 73.8 1/ Includes census omissions. 2/ Includes capitals of provinces even if they do not have a population of more than 2,000 Source: ONEC  Table 1.2: PERU - PROJECTED POPULATION BY AGE, 1970-79 (JUNE 30 OF EACH YEAR) (Thousands) Age Groups 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 TOTAL 13,447.3 13,830.3 14,223.9 14,628.3 15,043.6 15,470.0 15,907.9 16,357.5 16,819.2 17,293.1 0- 4 2,356.1 2,398.2 2,441.6 2,486.4 2,527.1 2,570.7 2,631.4 2,698.1 2,760.1 2,824.1 5 - 9 1,975.8 2,028.9 2,084.5 2,140.5 2,199.4 2,259.3 2,296.5 2,338.3 2,383.2 2,432.8 10 - 14 1,682.0 1,733.7 1,785.9 1,839.5 1,895.5 1,953.6 2,012.3 2,069.2 2,127.5 2,183.2 15 - 19 1,391.1 1,441.2 1,492.8 1,545.7 1,601.6 1,658.4 1,711.0 1,764.2 1,817.8 1,873.2 20 - 24 1,142.1 1,183.2 1,226.1 1,269.7 1,317.0 1,362.5 1,413.9 1,466.4 1,520.2 1,573.8 25 - 29 932.5 966.0 1,002.1 1,037.9 1,076.4 1,114.7 1,157.3 1,198.2 1,240.8 1,286.1 30 - 34 799.3 820.2 841.4 863.9 886.0 909.5 942.6 974.9 1,013.6 1,050.7 35 - 39 687.1 703.9 721.1 739.4 - 758.9 778.0 797.8 817.9 838.5 862.1 40 - 44 581.9 598.1 614.4 631.3 648.1 666.1 683.2 701.0 718.1 736.5 45 - 49 482.3 497.2 513.5 528.1 544.3 560.2 576.6 592.1 608.9 624.5 50 - 54 386.3 399.7 413.9 428.8 443.1 459.0 474.1 488.2 502.3 518.1 55 - 59 310.7 320.8 330.0 340.4 349.7 361.3 373.1 386.9 400.9 415.0 60 - 64 247.6 254.4 261.0 268.0 274.6 282.5 290.1 299.3 308.4 318.2 65 - 69 185.8 190.9 197.0 202.9 209.3 215.4 221.1 226.6 233.1 238.6 70 - 74 133.5 136.9 140.1 143.4 146.9 149.7 154.3 159.5 164.1 170.3 75+ 153.2 157.0 158.5 162.4 165.7 169.1 172.6 176.7 181.7 185.9 Source: ONE  Table 1.3: PERU - PROJECTED POPULATION BY AREA AND SEX, 1970-79 (Thousands) TOTAL URBAN RURAL Total Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female 1970 13,447.3 6,743.7 6,703.6 8,001.1 4,004.2 3,996.9 5,446.2 2,739.5 2,706.7 1971 13,830.3 6,935.7 6,894.6 8,359.6 4,182.3 4,177.3 5,470.7 2,753.4 2,717.3 1972 14,223.9 7,132.9 7,091.0 8,723.3 4,363.0 4,360.3 5,500.6 2,769.9 2,730.7 1973 14,628.3 7,335.5 7,292.8 9,094.1 4,547.2 4,546.9 5,534.2 2,788.3 2,745.9 1974 15,043.6 7,543.3 7,500.3 9,473.0 4,735.3 4,737.7 5,570.6 2,808.0 2,762.6 1975 15,470.0 7,756.7 7,713.3 9,861.5 4,928.-3 4,933.2 5,608.5 2,828.4 2,780.1 1976 15,907.9 7,975.7 7,932.2 10,260.7 5,126.5 5,134.2 5,647.2 2,849.2 2,798.0 1977 16,357.5 8,200.5 8,157.0 10,671.4 5,330.4 5,341.0 5,686.1 2,870.1 2,816.0 1978 16,819.2 8,431.2 8,388.0 11,094.4 5,540.5 5,553.9 5,724.8 2,890.7 2,834.1 1979 17,293.1 8,668.0 8,625.1 11,530.3 5,756.9 5,773.4 5,762.8 2,911.1 2,851.7 Source: ONE  Table 1.4: PERU - PROJECTED LABOR FORCE, 1970-79 (Thousands) 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Total Labor Force 4167.3 4281.0 4401.7 4534.3 4672.9 4817.5 4968.0 5124.7 5283.4 5441.9 Agricultural 1879.5 1900.8 1919.1 1936.1 1948.6 1955.9 1977.3 2003.8 2026.0 2042.0 Non-agricultural 1/ 2287.X 2380.2 2482.6 2598.2 2724.3 2861.6 2990.7 3120.9 3257.4 3399.9 Employed 3971.4 4092.6 4215.6 4343.9 4486.0 4581.3 4709.7 4826.8 4940.0 5054.3 Agricultural 1873.6 1894.8 1913.0 1930.1 1942.8 1950.1 1971.4 1997.8 2019.9 2035.9 Non-agricultural 1/ 2097.8 2197.8 2302.6 2413.8 2543.2 2631.2 2738.3 2829.0 2920.1 3018.4 Unemployed 195.9 188.4 186.1 190.4 186.9 236.2 258.3 297.9 343.4 387.6 Agricultural 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 Non-agricultural 1/ 190.0 182.4 180.0 184.4 181.1 230.4 252.4 291.9 337.3 381.5 Underemployed 2/ 1913.4 1900.8 1845.5 1872.7 1953.3 2042.6 2200.8 2465.3 2745.0 2797.1 Agricultural 1207.6 1209.4 1285.8 1266.2 1273.5 1333.4 1222.1 1243.4 1325.0 1296.7 Non-agricultural 1/ 705.8 691.4 659.7 606.5 679.8 709.2 978.7 1221.9 1420.0 1500.4 1/ Includes unclassified activities 2/ Working less than 35 hours per week or earning less than minimum wage Source: Ministry of Labor  Table 1.5: PERU - UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNDEREMPLOYMENT RATES, 1970-79 (Percentages) 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Unemployment__ _ Total 4.7 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.0 4.9 5.2 5.8 6.5 7.1 Agricultural 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Non-agricultural 1/ 8.3 7.7 7.3 7.1 6.6 8.1 8.4 9.4 10.4 11.2 Underemployment 2/ Total 45.9 44.4 44.2 41.3 41.8 42.4 44.3 48.2 52.0 51.4 Agricultural 64.3 63.6 67.0 65.4 65.4 68.2 68.8 62.1 65.4 63.5 Non-agricultural 1/ 30.9 29.0 26.6 23.3 25.0 24.8 32.7 39.2 43.7 44.1 Adequately Employed Total 49.4 51.2 51.6 54.5 54.2 52.7 50.5 46.0 41.5 41.5 Agricultural 35.4 36.1 32.7 34.3 34.3 31.5 37.9 37.6 34.3 36.2 Non-agricultural 1/ 60.8 63.3 66.1 69.6 68.4 67.1 58.9 51.4 45.9 44.9 1/ Includes unclassified activities 2/ Working less than 35 hours per week or earning less than minimum wage. Source: Ministry of Labor  Table 1.6: PERU - LABOR FORCE BY SECTOR AND OCCUPATIONAL CATEGORY, 1970-79 (Thousands) 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Industries 3,753.3 3,837.2 3,923.1 4,035.1 4,157.2 4,273.0 4,400.5 4,524.2 4,686.3 4,852.5 Employees 426.3 442.6 459.4 479.4 501.1 522.6 544.6 563.4 612.4 661.3 Workers 1,003.9 1,025.1 1,045.5 1,073.9 1,107.1 1,131.0 1,162.5 1,187.1 1,214.5 1,241.2 Self-employed 2,323.1 2,369.5 2,418.2 2,481.8 2,549.0 2,619.4 2,693.4 2,773.7 2,859.4 2,950.0 Agriculture, fishing 2,011.9 2,027.3 2,043.0 2,067.9 2,093.7 2,119.7 2,146.1 2,171.8 2,197.3 2,222.4 Employees 44.7 43.6 43.0 42.9 42.8 42.7 42.4 42.6 42.5 42.5 Workers 407.1 404.6 401.9 400.6 399.1 397.3 395.1 391.9 388.0 383.3 Self-employed 1,560.1 1,579.1 1,598.1 1,624.4 1,651.8 1,679.7 1,708.6 1,737.3 1,766.8 1,796.6 Mining 63.8 63.9 64.1 64.5 64.9 65.3 65.7 66.1 66.5 66.9 Employees 13.5 13.6 13.6 13.8 13.9 14.1 14.1 14.3 14.4 14.5 Workers 48.5 48.5 48.5 48.7 49.0 49.2 49.5 49.7 50.0 50.3 Self-employed 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 Manufacturing 522.4 538.0 554.2 573.6 593.3 612.9 632.3 651.6 670.8 689.8 Employees 89.7 93.8 98.0 102.5 106.9 111.5 116.0 120.5 125.0 129.0 Workers 227.8 234.5 241.5 252.3 263.8 275.0 286.4 298.1 309.8 321.9 Self-employed 204.9 209.7 214.7 218.8 222.6 226.4 229.9 233.0 236.0 238.9 Electricity, gas, water 7.5 7.8 8.1 9.0 9.4 9.9 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.8 Employees 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.9 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 Workers 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.7 5.0 5.6 5.6 5.7 6.0 Self-employed - - - - - - - - - Construction 175.4 182.4 189.9 198.4 206.8 214.9 221.8 227.7 232.7 236.8 Employees 17.4 18.3 19.1 20.1 21.2 22.2 23.2 24.0 24.6 25.2 Workers 122.8 127.3 132.2 137.8 143.2 148.4 152.7 156.3 159.5 161.9 Self-employed 35.2 36.8 38.6 40.5 42.4 44.3 45.9 47.4 48.6 49.7 Commerce, restaurants, hotels 474.5 492.8 512.9 540.0 569.9 603.1 641.6 686.0 735.1 789.2 Employees 107.2 108.9 111.0 114.6 118.5 122.8 127.8 133.7 140.1 146.9 Workers 44.1 48.4 53.1 56.7 60.7 65.2 70.3 74.4 78.0 81.7 Self-employed 323.2 335.5 348.8 368.7 390.7 415.1 443.5 477.9 517.0 560.6 Transport, communication 167.5 176.0 184.8 193.4 202.3 211.5 221.0 230.7 240.6 250.5 Employees 47.3 50.3 53.2 55.4 57.7 59.9 62.3 64.6 67.0 69.4 Workers 68.6 71.3 74.2 76.9 79.7 82.5 85.4 88.2 91.1 93.9 Self-employed 51.6 54.4 57.4 61.1 64.9 69.1 73.3 77.9 82.5 87.2 Financial institutions, real estate 55.8 58.6 61.4 64.9 68.5 72.3 76.3 80.5 85.0 89.6 Employees 42.2 44.6 46.7 49.7 52.7 55.7 59.0 62.4 66.1 69.9 Workers 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.3 Self-employed 7.8 8.1 8.6 9.0 9.5 10.1 10.6 11.2 11.8 12.4 Communal services 274.5 290.4 304.7 323.4 348.4 363.4 384.5 398.5 446.9 495.5 Employees 60.4 65.6 71.0 76.0 82.7 88.8 94.2 95.6 127.0 158.1 Workers 75.6 80.7 83.7 90.1 100.6 101.9 110.8 116.0 125.3 134.9 Self-employed 138.5 144.1 150.0 157.3 165.1 172.7 179.5 186.9 194.6 202.5 Government services 281.0 297.4 316.1 331.9 343.8 367.2 384.6 412.0 407.1 404.0 Employees 256.0 268.8 281.9 297.5 312.8 330.1 349.0 373.0 368.5 365.7 Workers 25.0 28.6 34.2 34.4 31.0 37.1 35.6 39.0 38.6 38.3 Self-employed - - - - - - - - - - Other 154.3 156.7 158.9 161.9 165.1 168.8 172.6 176.4 180.2 184.1 Total 4,188.6 4,291.3 4,398.1 4,528.9 4,666.1 4,809.0 4,957.7 5,112.6 5,273.6 5,440.6 Employees 682.3 711.4 741.3 776.9 813.9 852.7 893.6 936.4 980.9 1,027.0 Workers 1,183.2 1,210.4 1,238.6 1,270.2 1,303.2 1,336.9 1,370.7 1,402.5 1,433.3 1,463.6 Self-employed 2,323.1 2,369.5 2,418.2 2,481.8 2,549.0 2,619.4 2,693.4 2,773.7 2,859.4 2,950.0 SOURCE: ONE  Table 1.7: PERU - PREVALENCE OF MALNUTRITION IN CHILDREN UNDER SIX ACCORDING TO WEIGHT FOR AGE CRITERIA Low Income Stratum Middle Income Stratum High Income Stratum Malnourished Malnourished Malnourished Region Normal Total 1