Mexico - Urban development (Vol. 2 of 3) : Tables

FILIE COPY Report No. 1449-ME _- LJrban Development in Mexico RETURTO REPORTS DESK (In Three Volumes) VVITHIN Volume II: Tables ONE WEEK January 31, 1977 Development Economics Department Latin America and the Caribbean Region Urban Projects Department FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Document of the World Bank This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.   FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY URBAN DEVLOPMENT IN MEICO Volume II-Tables Table of Contents Table No. 1.1 Mexico - Donographic Trends 1900-19h0 1.2 Demographic Trends 1940-1970 1.3 Mexico - Urban Population on Alternative Threshold Bases 1900-1940 1.4 Mexico - Urban Population by Cohort Groups - 1910 1.5 Mexico - Urban Population by Cohort Groups - 1940 1.6 Cohort Growth Rates x 1.7 Threshold Urbanization (2,500, 10,000, 15,000, 20,000) 1940, 1950, 1960, 1970 1.8 Urbanization!Growth Rates 1.9 States - Population Sizes 1.10 The Composition of the Resident Population by Origin - 1950 1.11 The Composition of the Resident Population by Origin - 1960 1.12 The Composition of the Resident Population by Origin - 1970 1.13 Origin of Intercensus Increases of National Resident Population in;Each State 1950-1960 1.14 Origin of Intercensus Increases of National Resident Population in,Each State 1960-1970 1.15 Distribution of Total Urban Population by State 19h0-1970 1.16 Urban Population of Mexico by State 1940-1970 Compounded Annual Growth of Urbanizaticn by State 1.17 States ClassiCied by Relative Rates of Urbanization 1940-1970 1.18 States Classified by Level of Urbanization 1.19 States Classified by "Level" of Urbanization and Share of National Urbar 'Population 1940-1970 1,20 25 MaJor Urban Centers - 1877 1.21 25 Selected Urban Centers - 1900 1.22 Population of Selected State apitals 1.23 Urban Population Size of 1970's Largest Cities 1940-1970 1.24 Urban Size Ranks of 19701s Major Cities 1.25 Growth Rates for 25 Major Urban Areas 1.26 Mexico - Differential Cohort Growth Rates 1.27 Cohort Structure 1940/70 1.28 Compound Annual Growth Rates 1.29 Population Growth Rates Relative to the Average Growth RF.tes for the 37 Urban Areas 1.30 Percent Population Born Outside Municipios 1940-1970 by Municipio 1.31 Urban Population Growth Attributable to Coalescence/Reclassificaticn 1.32 Mexico - Absolute and Relative Intercensal Growth of Large Cities in Each of the S;ix Groups due to Coalescence and Reclassification During Intercensal Periods. This document has a festrcted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the pedormane of their official dutes. its contents may not otherwise be disclbod without World Bank authorizatin.  -2 - 1.33 Mexico - Natural Growth of Large-City Population by Region 1940-1970 and as Percentage of Total Growth Including and Excluding Coalescence. 1.34 Mexico - Average,Annual Rate of Natural Increase in 37 Cities Including and Excluding Coalescence and Reclassification (C/R) 1.35 Mexico - Most Important Localities of Rejection 1950-1960 1.36 Mexico - Total, Natural, and Social Growth of Urban Population, and the Principal Cities of Attraction 1940-1950 1.37 Mexico - Net Immigration to the Large Cities in Six Regions of the Country and Respective Average Annual Net Immigration Rates 1940-1970 1.38 Mexico - Population Growth of the Large Cities of the Six Demographic Regions of the Country and the Respective Average Annual Rates of Population and Components 1930-1970 1.39 City Structure: 1910/40 1.40 Comparison of Membership of Hierarchy for Five Largest Municipios 1.41 Comparison of Hierarchy for Ten Largest Municipios 1.42 Comparison of Membership of Hierarchy for 25 Largest M4unicipios 1.43 Comparison of Membership of Hierarchy of 25 Largest Cities 1.44 Correlation Matrix of Rank Orders of City Size for 25 Cities 1900-1940 1.45 Rank Size Correlation Matrix 1.46 Rank Size Deviation - 1.47 Rank Size Rule for Largest Municipios - 1940 1.48 Rank Size Rule for Largest Municipios - 1950 1.49 Rank Size Rule for Largest Municipios - 1960 1.50 Rank Size Rule for Largest Mun;icipios - 1970 1.51 Mexico - Indices-of Primacy 1.52 Indices of Primacy 1940-1970 1.53 Concentration of Total Urban Population 1940-1970 1.54 Percentage Share of Total Urban Population of 37 Cities in Relation to National: Urban Population 1.55 37 Municipios as % of.State Populations and State Urban Population 1940, 1970. 2.1 Real Annual Growth of GDP, by Sector, 1900-1940 2.2 Real Gross Domestic Product at Market Prices 1940-1972 2.3 Mexico,- Enployment and GDP Growth 2.4 Mexico - Foreign Investment in.Mexico - 1911 2.5 Mexico - Exports 1877-1911 2.6 Mexico - Gross Domestic Product and Per Capita Government Expenditures for Selected Years  - 3 - 3.1 Sectoral Employment Structure - 1970 3.2 Employment Structure (% Shares), 1970 3.3 Difference Between State and Country Profiles with Coefficient of Specialization in the Column Labeled 00000 3.4 Surplus Workers Index - 1970 3.5 Economic Classification of States 1940-1970 3.6 Savings by State (Per Capita) 1940 and 1970 3.7 Savings by State (Mex$ in current prices) 1940 and 1970 3.8 Overdue Credits: Distribution by States of Credit by National Credit Institutions 3.9 Overdue Credits: Distribution by States of Credit by Official Institutions 3.10 Credit Outstanding: Distribution by States of Credit Provided by National Credit Institutions 3.11 Credit Outstanding: Distribution by States of Credit Provided by Private Credit Institutions 3.12 Distribution of Credit Provided by National Credit Institutions 3.13 Distribut.ion of Credits Provided by Private Credit Institutions 3.14 State Development Index 3.15 Differentiation in State Development 3.16 Northern,_Central and Western, Southern States: Some Socio Economic Indicators 3.17 Distribution of Federal Public Investment 1959/70 4.1 Inter City Distribution of Non-Agricultural Employment - 19h0 4.2 -Inter City Distribution of Non-Agricultural Employment - 1970 4.3 Average Growth Rate of Employment in 37 Cities by Sector (1940-1970) 4.4 Percentage Shares of Non-Agricultural Bnployment between Cities - 1940 4.5 Percentage Shares of Non-Agricultural Employment between Cities - 1970 4.6 Sectoral Distribution of Non-Agricultural Enployment in Cities - 19h0 4.7 Sectoral Distribution of Non-Agricultural Emplo,ment in Cities - 1970 4.8 Coefficient of Sectoral Specialization for Cities - 19h0 4.9 Coeffici.ent of Specialization for Cities - 1970 4.1o Index of Surplus knployment for Cities - 1940 4.11 Index of Surplus Enployment for Cities - 1970 4.12 Location Quotients for Major Sectors in Mexico City, Guadalajara and Monterrey - 1970 4.13 Municip:Los EAP in-Relation to State EAP - 1970 4.14 Municip:Lo EAP in Relation to State EAP - 1950 4.15 Urban Ehployment in 37 Cities in Relation to National Urban &iployment - 1950  -14- 4.16 Urban Employment in 37 Cities in Relation to National Urban Employment - 1970 14.17 Indices of Concentration - 1970. 5.1 Production of the Mexican Mining Industry 1891-1912 5.2 Structural Change in Mexican Manufacturing Employment 1940-1970 5e3 1970 Industrial Subsectors 6.1 Regional Distribution of Industrial Employment 1950-1970 6.2 Geographic Distribution of Industrial Employees 6.3 Interstate Distribution of Manufacturing Employment 6.4 Subsectoral Distribution of Mianufacturing Industry in States - 1965 6.5 Coefficients of Specialization in Mlanufacturing for States, 1965 6.6 The Law of New and Necessary Industry: Regional Distribution of Factories Granted Tax Relief in M4exico, 1940-1964 6.7 Law of New and Necessary Industry: Geographical Distribution of Exempt Companies According to Industrial Group; 1959-1964 6.8 Regional Distribution of Credits Granted by "El Fondo De Garantia"; 1953-1970 6.9 El Fondo De Garantia: Distribution of Credits Granted; 1961-1970 7.1 Distribution of Industrial Employment between Cities; 1970 7.2 Percentage Structure of.Industrial Employment between Cities; 1970 7.3 Location Quotient for Industrial Employment in 37 Cities; 1940/70 7.4 Location Quotients by Size of Community; 1940-1970 7.5 Subsector Shares of Industrial Employment within Cities; 1970 7.6 Coefficient of Industrial Specialization in Cities; 1970 7.7 Index of Specialization in Manufacturing 1970 7.8 "Presence/Absence" of Manufacturing Subsectors 7.9 Number of Subsectors in each City 7.10 Industrial Subsector Percentage Distribution 1970 7.11 Ratio of "M4arket to Threshold" Sectors - 1970 7.12 Analytical Indicators of Industrial Structure; 1970 7.13 Productivity Scores, Classified by Urban Size Groups 7.14 Industrial IndicatQrs - 1971 8.1 Spatial Contrasts in Agriculture;.1970  - 5 - 8.2 Value of Agricultural Output per Agricultural Worker, by States, Selected Years; 1940-1960 8.3 Index of Agricultural Capital per Ilectare of Cultivated Land and Percent of Cultivated Land under Irrigation,, by State; 1940, 1950, 1960 8.4 Percenta.ge Employment in Agriculture in 37 Cities; 1940-1970 8.5 Agricultural Employment by City Size Category (:L970) 8.6 Agricultural Employment by Region 1970 8.7 Agricultural Development and Mligration 1950, 1960 - Rank Orders 8.8 Land Reform by State 1915-1961 - Rank Order 8.9 Agricultural Development and Urbanization 1950, 1960 - Rank Orders 9.1 Value of Retail Sales per Capita, by States, 1940/60 9.2 Sales of Goods and Services per Commercial and Service Establishment and Commercial and Service Establishments per 1,000 Inhabitants, by State, 1940, 1950 and 1960 9.3 Intercity Distribution of Enploynent in Commerce, 1965 9.4 Percentage Shares of Cities in Commercial Employments, 1965 9.5 Structure of Employment in Commerce in Cities: 1965 (Percent) 9.6 Coefficient of Specialization in Commerce, 1965 9.7 Index of Surplus Employment in Commerce 1965 9.8 Commercial Indicator - 1966 9.9 Intercity Distribution of Employment in Services, 1965 9.10 Percentage Shares of Cities in Employment in Services, 1965 9.11 Structure of Employment in Services in Cities, 1965 9.12 Coefficient of Specialization in Services in Cities, 1965 9.13 Index of Surplus Employment in Services in Cities, 1965 10.1 Evolution of the Railroad System in Mexico (1860-1970) 10.2 Railroad Development and Revenue Growth 10.3 Percent;age Growth of Railroad Freight Movement by State 10.4 Railroad Freight Movement by Region: Aggregate in Tons 10.5 Percentage Growth of Railroad Freight I'ovement by Region: Aggregates Excluding Movement of Cement in Tons 10,6 Thousands of Kilometers of Railroads and Paved or Improved Roads per Capita, by State, Selected Years, 1930-60 10.7 Origin--Destination 11atrix: Cargo 11Movement between Principal Urban Centers 10.8 Road Construction by Type 10.9 Road Density Index  - 6 - 1010 Road Extension by State and Region 1934-38, 1940 and 1953 10.11 Road Extension by State and Region 1960 and 1970 10.12 Major Cities not Connected to Primary Road System in 1940 10,13 Motorization Rate by State 10,14 Average Road Journey Times 10.15 Vehicle Operation Time/Distance 10.16 Inter Regional Road Traffic Percentage Distribution (.1970) 10.17 Regional Origin and Destination of Road Traffic - 1970 10.18 Port Activity 1900-1940 10.19 Port Activity 1960, 1970 10.20 National Movement of Products Located and Unloaded by Cabotage 1960, 1970 10.21 Commercial Domestic Air Passenger Growth 10.22 Matrix: Flight Frequency: Number of Flights per Week (Direct Connections only) 10.23 Matrix; Passenger Movement: Origin/Destination 1967 10.24 Matrix: Passenger Movement: Origin/Destination 1973 10.25 Matrix: Passenger Movement by Region and Airport Location 1967 10.26 Matrix: Passenger Movement by Region and Airport Location 10.27 Percentage Distribution of Telephone Traffic between Major Urban Centres; 1973 10.28 Nearest Neighbor Analysis 1900 10.29 Nearest Neighbor Analysis 1940 10,30 Distribution of City-Pair in Relative Accessibility Index (19h0) 10.31 Distribution of City-Pairs in Relative Accessibility Index (1970) 10.32 Summary of Distribution 194sO, 1970 11.1 Distribution of Family Income by Deciies in Mexico 1950, 1958, 1963, 1969 1e2 Rural (Monthly) Income Level and Distribution, 1969 11.3 Urban (Monthly) Income Level and Distribution, 1969 11.4 Income Distribution in Urban and Rural Areas, 1969-1970 1.5 Average Monthly Income per Rural Family by State and Income Brackets 1969-1970 ll.6 Number of Rural Families by State and Income Brackets, 1969-1970 11.7 Average Monthly Income per Urban Family by State and Income Brackets 1969-70 l1.8 Number of Urban Families by State and Monthly Income Brackets, 1969-1970 11.9 Average Monthly Income per Family by State and Income Brackets, 1969-1970 11.10 Regional Differential in Income Distribution, 1969-1970 le11 Income Distribution' of the Federal District, 1969-1970 11.12 Income Distribution of the North Pacific Coast, 1969-1970  -7- 11o13 Income Distri'bution of the Gulf of Iexico, 1969-1970 11.14 Income Distribution of the North 1969/70 11.15 Income Distribution of the Central Region, 1969-1970 11.16 Income Distribution of the South Pacific Coast, 1969-1970 12.1 Welfare Indicators, 1940-1970 12,2 Economic Welfare Indicators 12.3 Ranking of Urban Service Variables 12.4 Ranking of Means and Coefficients of Variation 12.5 Concentration Indices of Urban Services 12.6 Rotated Factor Matrix for Evaluation of Urban Services 12.7 Factor Scores 12.8 Factor Analysis by City Groups 13.1 CCori7olation of 1940 Urban Population and Relative Urbanization in. 1240/50 13.2 Correlathon of 1950 Urban Population and R.elative Urbanization in l19,5$0/ 13.3 Correlation of 1960 Urban Population and Relative Urbanization in 1960/70 13.4 Correlation of Economic Specialization and Level of Urbanization (1970) 13.5 Correlation of Level of Urbanization in 1960 and Economic Specia- lization 1960 13.6 Correlation of Growth in Industrial Employment 1950-70 and Urbanization Rate for 1950-70 13.8 Correlation of Level of Urbanization and Shares of Tertiary Employment 1970 13.9 Correlation of Growth in Tertiary Employment and Urbanization Rate 1950-1970 13.10 Correlation.of Personal Monthly Income and Urbanization Incidence 1970 13e11 Correlation.of State Development and Level of Urbazdzation in 1940 13e12 Correlation of Development and Level of State Urbanization - 1970 13e13 Correlation of State Product Level and Urbanization Incidence: 1970 13e14 Value Addecd and Economic Structure by State, 1965 13e15 Correlation 'of' Relative Urbanization and Relative Agricultural Development 13,16 Coefficients of Bank Correlation between State Development Index and Indices of Agglomeration Economies 13.17 Correlation'of Electrical Consumption and State Development 1970 13.18 Income and Income Distribution, 1969  - 8 - 14.1 Correlation between City Size and Difference of Actual and Expected 14.2 Comparison between Population and Sector Growth Rates-in Fast Growing Cities (1960/70) 14.3 Comparison betwen Population and Sector Growth Rates in Slow Grow%ing Cities (1960/70) 14.4 Correlation of Index of General Economic Specialization and Urban Size - 1940 14.5 Correlation of Index of General Economic Specialization and Urban Size - 1970 14.6 Correlation of Index of General Economic Specialization (1940) and Relative Population Growth Rate in 1940-70 14.7 Correlation of Index of General Economic Specialization (1970) and Growth Rate, 1940-70 14.8 Correlation between Urban Size and Specialization in the MIanufacturing Sector 1970 14.9 Rank Coefficients of Correlation between Population and Industrial Employnent Increases 1940-60 14.10 Correlation of Number of Mfanufacturing Sksectors and Urban Population Size in 1970 14.11 Correlation of Index of Specialization in Commerce and Urban Size - 1965 14,12 Correlation between Urban Growth and Specialization in Commerce 1965 14.13 Correlation of Urban Size and Specialization in Services l965 14.14 Comparison between.Class of General Economic Specialization, Leading "Export" Sectors and Population Size 1940 14.15 Comparison between Class of General Economic, Leading Specialization "Export"l Sector (s) and Population Size 1970 14.16 Correlation between Rank Order of City Population Size and State Development Index of States in which Cities are Located: 1940 14.17 Correlation of Income Level and Urban Size 1970 14.18 Correlation of Income Level (1969) and Population Growth Rates, (194O-70, 1960-70) 14.19 Correlation of Gini Coefficient and Average Monthly Incomes per Capita 1970 14.20 Correlation of Gini Coefficient and Urban Population Size 1970 14.21 Comparison beUteen-Underemployment by Cities and General Economic Identity of Cities/States 14.22 Correlation of Sales per Capita and Income per Capita 1969 14,23 Correlation Matrix for Urban Socio-Economic Welfare Variables  Table 1 .1: MEXICO - DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS 1900/1940 1900 1910 1921 1930 1940 Popultion (000's) 1/ 13,607 15,160 1i4,385 17,063 20,244 Birth rate (%o) 2/ 30f.5 32.0 31.4 50.8 48.1 Death rate (%D) .2 34.5 33.2 25.1 26.6 23.2 Rate of natural increase (%) 1.60 -0.12 0.63 2.42 2.49 Rate of growth (%) (intercensal) 1.08 -0.51 1.70 1.75 Expectation of life at birth (years) '/ 36.9 Gross Reprodcation Rate 3.11 3.o6 Proportion of population aged: (%) 4/ 0 - 14 40.9 42.6 15 - 64 56.2 54.5 - 65+ 2.9 2.9 Dependeno.r ratio 0.78 0.83 1/ 1900 to 1921 Census results; 1930-1960 correction made in Colegio de Mexico; 1970 Colegio de Mexico estirates; 1974 mission estimate. 2/ 1900-1960 Colegio de Mexico estimates. 3/ 1900, 1910 and 1921, official figures for 1900/04, 1905/10 and 1921/24; 1930/60 official figures; 1970/74 Bank estimate. 4/ Population census results. 5/ Colegio de Mexico estimates. Source: El Colegio de Mexico: Dinamica de la Poblaci6n de Mexico, Mexico, D.F., 1970 Cabrera, Gustavo, Indicadores Dnemograficos de Mexico a Princip os de Siglo (mimeo), 1966 Colver, Andrew, Birth Rates in Latin America: New Estimates of Historical Trends and Fluctuations, Uv. of California, Berkely, 1965 Direcci6n General de Estadfstica, Secretaria de Industria y Comercio, Ameario Estadistico Compendiado 1970, Mexico, 1971 Direcci6n General de Educaci6n Media, Secretaria de Bducaci6n P6tblica, Perfil Demografico de M6xico, Mexico, 1971 Direcci6n General de Estadistica, Secretaria de Industria y Comercio, IX Canso General de Poblaci6n, 1970: Resumen General Abreviado, Mexico, D.F., 1972  Table 1 .2.: DEMOGRAPHIC TRElNDS: 19h0-70 19h0 1950 1960 1970 (1974) Population (000's) 20,244 26,A63 36,003 50,417 (57,981) Birth rate ( 0) 48.1 46.3 44.9 43.1 (43.1) Death rate ( 0) 23.2 16.2 11.2 8.6 ( 7.8) Rate of natural increase ( ) 2.49 3.01 3.37 3.45 (3.53) Rate of growth ( ) (intercensal) 2.65 3.03 3.35 Expectation of life at birth (years) 5/ 41.5 49.7 58.9 61.9 Gross Reproduction Rate 3.06 3.08 3.16 3.15 Proportion of population aged: \ 0-14 42.6 43.1 45.8 46.2 15-64 43.5 53.6 50.9 50.1 65+ 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.7 Dependency ratio 0.83 0.86 0.96 1.00 El Colegio de Mexico: Dingmica de la Poblaci6n de Mgxico. M6xico, D.F. 1970 Cabrera, Gustavo: Indicadores Demogrgficos de M6xico a Principios de Siglo (mimeo), 1968 Colver, Andrew: Birth Rates in Latin America: New Estimates of Historical Trends and Fluctuations Berkley, 1965. Direcci6n General de Estadistica, Secretaria de Industria y Comercio, Ameario Estadfsticb Compendiado 1970, 146xico, 1971 Direcci6n General de Educaci6n Media, Secretaria de Educaci6n Pdblica, P6rfil Demogrgfico de Mexico, Mexico, 1971 Direcci6n General de Estadistica, Secretaria de Industria y Comercio, LX Censo Gneral de Poblaci6n, 1970: Resumen  Table 1.3: MEXICO: URBAN POPULATION ON ALTERNATIVE THRESHOLD BASES - 1900-40 Urban Threshold Percent of Total Population Size 1910 19h0 2,500 28.70 35.o0 5,000 20.00 27.5( 10,000 1h.h2 22.92 20,000 11,00 18.07 50,000 6.29 13.6 1 100,OOO 3.90 10.19 Sources Population Censuses  Table 1.4: YiEXICO - URBMp POULATION BY COHORT1 GROURI - 1970 UhXIiN COHORT WOUFS No. of -% of Total (irnhabitants) I ocalities Population population 2,001 - 2,500 396 1,313, 794 8.67 2,501 - 5,000 - _ _ 5,001 - 10,000 123 848,124 5.59 10,C001 - 20,000 40 518,2258 3.42 20,001 - 50,000 22 714,786 4.71 50,001 - 100,000 5 362,845 2.39 100,000 - above 2 590,534 3.90 TOTAL URBAN POFRiIATION 588 4,348,341 28.68 Source: Jose E. Inturriga, La Estructura Social y Cultural de Mexico, 1951.  Table 1.5: MEXILCO - URANT Powu.,jL