Report No. 1548-CO Economic Position and Prospects of Colombia (In Two Volumes) Volume 11: Statistical Appendix May 10, 1977 Latin America and Caribbean Regional Office FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Document of the World Bank This document has a restricted distrilbution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Currency Unit: Peso Exchange Rate Effective March 11, 1977 Selling Rate - US$1.00 = Col$36.46 Col$1.00 = US$0.2743 Buying Rate - US$1.00 = Col$36.40 Average Exchange Rate (Buying) 1973 1974 1975 1976 US$1.00 = Col$23.70 Col$26.08 Col$30.95 Col$35.05 Col$1.00 = US$.0422 US$.0383 US$.0323 US$.0285 STATISTICAL APPENDIX FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Table of Contents Population and Employrment 1.1 Population, Natural Increase and Migration, 1960-1976. 1.2 Employment by Economic Activity in Selected Years, 1951-1973. 1.3 Unemployment Rat:es in the Urban Areas, 1963-1976. 1.4 Urban Underemployment and Participation Rates in Four Cities, 1971-1976. 1.5 Income Distribut:ion in Colombia According to Seven Estimates. 1.6 Employment by Sectors in the Four Main Cities. National Accounts 2.1 Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost by Sector, 1960-1976. 2.2 Gross Domestic E'roduct at Factor Cost by Sector in 1970 Prices, 1960-1976. 2.3 Gross Domestic Product, by Type of Expenditure in Current Market Prices, 1960-1975. 2.4 Gross Domestic Product, by Type of Expenditure in Constant Market Prices, 1960-1975. 2.5 National Income Components, 1960-1975. 2.6 Investment and its Financing, 1960-1975. 2.7 Personal Income, 1960-1975. 2.8 General Government, Current Income Receipts, 1958-1975. 2.9 General Government, Current Expenditures and Savings, 1960-1975. 2.10 Implicit Price Deflators for Gross Domestic Product, 1958-1975. 2.11 Incremental Capital - Output and Domestic Savings Ratios, 1960-1975. 2.12 Wages and Salaries as Percentage of Value Added, by Sector, 1950-1975. 2.13 National Accounts Projections, 1974-1982. Trade and Payments 3.1 Balance of Payments, 1960-1976. 3.2 Foreign Exchange Balance, 1960-1976. 3.3 Central Bank Gross Receipts of Foreign Exchange, 1960-1976. 3.4 Central Bank Disbursements of Foreign Exchange, 1960-1976. 3.5 Supply and Distribution of Green Coffee, 1958/59-1975/76. 3.6 Foreign and Domestic Prices for Colombian Coffee and Prices of Four Other Categories, 1960-1976. 3.7 Crude Petroleum Production, Apparent Domestic Consumption and Exports, 1958-1976. 3.8 Export Registrations by Main Products, 1960-1976. 3.9 Customs Clearancs of Merchandise Exports, 1960-1975. 3.10 Minor Exports Exchange Surrender by Main Products, 1960-1976. 3.11 Advance and Normal Merchandise Export Exchange Surrender, by Quarter, 1966-1976. 3.12 Reimbursable and Non-Reimbursable Import Registrations, 1958-1976. 3.13 Import Registrations by Economic Category, 1960-1976. 3.14 C.I.F. Imports, iby Principal Product Groups, 1960-1975. 3.15 C.I.F. Commodity Imports, Classified According to End-use, 1958-1973. 3.16 Direction of Tradle, 1960-1976. 3.17 International Monetary Reserves of the Central Bank, 1960-1976. 3.18 Official Market Rates of Exchange by Quarter, 1967-1976. 3.19 Balance of Payments, Export Projections, 1974-1982. 3.20 Balance of Payments, Import Projections, 1974-1982. 3.21 Summary Balance of Payments Projections, 1974-1982. This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. -2 External Debt 4.1 External Public Debt as of December 31, 1976, Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency. 4.2 External Public Debt Transactions for 1971-1977 and Projected Pipeline 1977 -1996, Debt Repayable in Foreign Currency. 4.3 External Debt Outstanding as of December 31, 1975, Debt Repayable in Local Currency. 4.4 External Public Debt Transactions for 1968-1976 and Projected Pipeline, 1976-1995, Debt Repayable in Local Currency. Public Finances 5.1 Public Sector Resources for Investment, 19704976. 5.2 Public Sector Resources for Investment, 1970-1976. 5.3 Public Sector Resources for Investment, 1970-1976. 5.4 Analysis of Consolidated Public Sector Finances, 1970-1976. 5.5 National Government Operations, 1970-1976. 5.6 National Government Revenues, 1970-1976. 5.7 Tax Burden, 1970-1976. 5.8 Buoyancies with Respect to GDP, 1970-1976. 5.9 Public Sector Transfers, 1970-1976. 5.10 Summary Accounts of Major Decentralized Agencies, 1970-1976. 5.11 Social Security System Revenues and Expenditures, 1970-1976. 5.12 Projections of the National Government Operations, 1977-1981. 5.13 Projections of National Government Revenues, 1977-1981. 5.14 Public Sector: Investment Program and Financing, 1977-1982. 5.15 Sectoral Distribution of Public Gross Fixed Investment, 1975-1982. Money and Credit 6.1 Summary Accounts of the Banking System, 1969-1976. 6.2 Summary Accounts of the Monetary Authorities, 1969-1976. 6.3 Summary Accounts of the Commercial Banks, 1969-1976. 6.4 Summary Accounts of the Specialized Banks, 1969-1976. 6.5 Origin, Destination and Financing of Bank Credit, 1967-1976. 6.6 Money Supply and Financial Savings, 1967-1976. 6.7 Money Supply and Velocity, 1969-1976. 6.8 The Money Supply and The Money Multipliers, 1969-1976. 6.9 Base Money and the Operations of the Monetary Authorities, 1971-1976. 6.10 Composition and Growth of the Money Supply, 1960-1976. 6.11 New Commercial Bank Loans by Quarter, 1960-1974. 6.12 Commercial Bank Loans by Quarter, 1960-1976. 6.13 Banking System Loans by Quarter, 1960-1976. 6.14 Bogota and Medellin Stock Exchanges, 1969-1976. 6.15 Description of the Administered Funds. Agriculture 7.1 Production of Principal Crops, 1962-1977. 7.2 Area Under Cultivation Principal Crops, 1962-1977. 7.3 Crop Yields per Hectare, 1962-1977. - 3 - 7.4 Cattle Population and Extraction, 1963-1976. 7.5 Gross Value of Agricultural Production, 1950-1976. 7.6 Indices of Physical Volume of Agricultural Production, 1.950-1976. 7.7 Agricultural Gross Value Added, in Constant 1970 Prices, 1950-1976. 7.8 Price Deflators for Agriculture, Non-Agriculture, and Total GDP, 1950-1975. 7.9 New Loans Extended to the Agricultural Sector, 1969-1976. 7.10 Estimated Farm Prices and Support Prices for Principal Commodities, 1950-1975. 7.11 Fertilizer Production and Plant Nutrient Supply, 1970-1975. 7.12 Census Farms by Size, 1960 and 1970/1971. 7.13 Census Farms a.nd Farmland by Tenure and Size, 1960 and 1970/1971. 7.14 Regional Groupings of Municipios with High Concentrations of Small Farms, by Coffee and Non-coffee Areas. 7.15 Value of Principal Agricultural Exports, 1970-1975. 7.16 Trends in Quantities of Selected Exports, 1970-1975. 7.17 Per Capita Ava.ilabilities of Foods and Principal Nutrients, 1948, 1957, and 1.970. 7.18 Agricultural Imports, 1970-1975. 7.19 Area Planted with Improved Seed for Selected Crops, 1970-1975. Industry 8.1 Increases in F'actory Employment, 1953-1975. 8.2 Indicators of Import Substitution and Sources of Industria.l Growth, 1953-1975. 8.3 Structure of Manufacturing Industry by Size, 1970-1975. 8.4 Paid Employment in Manufacturing Industries, 1953-1975. 8.5 Domestic Manufacturing Output and Imports, 1958-1975. 8.6 Commercial Bank Credit to the Manufacturing Sector, 1953-1976. 8.7 Corporaciones Financieras, Caja Agraria and Corporacion Popular - Loans to the Industrial Sector, 1968-1976. 8.8 Industrial Exports, 1963-1973. 8.9 Proportion of Industrial Exports in Gross Value of Industrial Output, 1967-1975. Wages and Prices 9.1 Consumer Price Indices for Bogota, Medellin and the Nation, 1960-1976. 9.2 National Consumer Price Indices by Expenditure Category, 1960-1976. 9.3 Wholesale Price Indices, by Main Commodity Group, 1960-1976. 9.4 Changes in Wholesale and Consumer Price Indices, 1960-1976. 9.5 Average Annual. Increases in Selected Price Indicators, 1.960-1976. 9.6 Prices of Construction Materials in Bogota, 1960-1976. Foreign Assistance 10.1 Loan Commitmertts by Agency, 1961-1976. 10.2 Loan CommitmerLts by Agency for International Development, 1961-1976. 10.3 Loan CommitmerLts by Export-Import Bank of the United States, 1961-1976. 10.4 Loan CommitmerLts by Inter-American Development Bank, 1961-1976. 10.5 IBRD Loans and IDA Credits Committed, 1949- 1976. 10.6 Loan Commitments by Sector and Main Agencies, 1961- 1976. -4- Human Resources 11.1 Student Population by Level of Education, Public and Private, 1963-1975. 11.2 Pupil Enrollment in Primary School, 1963-1975. 11.3 Pupil Enrollment in Secondary School by Type of Curriculum, 1963-1975. 11.4 Enrollment in Colombian Universities, Public and Private, by Course of Studies, 1963-1974. 11.5 Enrollment in Universities-According to Type of Program and Course of Studies, 1974. 11.6 Ratio of Pupils/Teacher in Primary and Secondary School, 1963-1975. 11.7 Number of University Professors by Type of Academic Field and Dedication, 1974. 11.8 Educational Level of the Labor Force, 1951-1970. 11.9 Distribution by Programs of SENA's Students, 1970-1975. 11.10 Total Expenditures (Investment and Current) of the Ministry of Education, 1974-1977. 11.11 Ten Main Causes of Death Among Pre-school Children and Total Population - Percent of all Deaths. 11.12 Main Causes of Death Among Children Under age 4, 1972. 11.13 Indirect Indicators of Nutritional Status, 1963-1971. 11.14 Recommendations and Availabilities in Calories and Nutrients for the Colombian Population, and Percentage of Adequacy, 1972. 11.15 Percentage of Adequacy of Calories and Nutrient Consumption in the Diet of 1,400 Families from Various Geographical Areas, 1972. 11.16 Comparison Between Annual Needs for Basic Food Groups for Human Consumption and Their Availability, 1966-1972. Table 1.1 - COLOMBIA: POPULATION, NATURAL INCREASE AND MIGRATION, 1960-1976 Mid-Year Net Population Birth Rate Per Death Rate Per Natural Increase Migration Year ('000) 1,000 Population/3 1,000 Population/4 Per 1,000 Population ('000) 1960 15,415.7 39 12 27 1.9 1961 15,908.3 39 11 28 2.7 1962 16,416.6 40 11 29 4.6 1963 16,941.1 39 10 29 11.5 1964 17,484.5/1 39 10 29 10.3 1965 17,946.4 37 10 27 14.5 1966 18,440.8 36 9 27 5.2 1967 18,948.9 35 9 26 5.0 1968 19,470.9 34 9 25 15.1 1969 20,007.3 33 8 25 -0.8 1970 20,558.5 32 7 25 2.8 1971 21,124.9 32 7 25 -3.8 1972 21,706.9 31 7 24 ... 1973 22,500.0/2 30 7 23 ... 1974 22,944.0 29 7 22 ... 1975 23,576.0 29 7 22 ... 1976 24,226.0 29 7 22 ... ... = negligible /1 Based on 1964 population census /2 Based on provisional results of the 1973 population census. /3 Based on birth registrations and census data. /4 Based on death registrations. Around 1967/68 an administrative reform in data collection on deaths took place which reduced manpower allocated to this task and hence is likely to have increased under-reporting of deaths in subsequent years. Source: DANE and Ministry of Health. Table 1.2 - COLOMBIA: EMPLOYMENT BY ECONOMIC ACTIVITY IN SELECTED YEARS (000's) .1/ l9'17- 1951 1964 1970 1973 Men Women Total Men Women Total Total Men Tloien Total Agriculture 1991.0 96.1 2087.1 2311.0 116.0 2427.0 2350.1 1707.6 68.8 1776.4 Mining 46.6 16.5 63.1 61.2 20.1 81.3 30.3 37.6 15.8 53.4 Industry 313.1 162.3 475.4 476.6 179.3 655.9 859.0 640.4 277.6 918.0 El./Gas/Water 10.3 0.5 10.8 12.2 1.0 13.2 26.2 25.0 5.3 30.3 Construction 135.2 1.9 137.1 217.2 3.5 220.7 222.2 319.5 7.5 327.0 Commerce/Hotels 163.2 47.0 210.2 331.9 108.6 440.5 754.6 525.4 284.6 810.0 Transport 127.9 6.3 134.2 179.5 12.3 191.8 230.5 243.2 24.3 267.5 Finance - - - - - - 87.8 77.7 40.1 117.8 Personal Serv. 243.0 374.0 617.0 374.2 551.8 926.0 1206.1 432.4 668.8 1106.2 Other 119.6 19.4 139.0 138.2 39.4 177.6 - 139.2 53.5 192.7 No Information-/ - - - - - - - 256.9 118.6 375.4 Total 3149.9 724.0 3873.9 4102.1 1032.1 5134.1 5766.8 4410.0 1564.7 5974.7 1/ In 1951 and 1964 the figures are for the economically active Dopulation and in 1970 and 1973 they are for the occupied population. 2/ This category was included in the 1973 census only. Source: Census for 1951, 1964. Muestra for 1973, Census published in August 1975; for 1970 Encuesta de Hogares, DANE. Table 1.3 - COLOMBIA: UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IN THE URBAN AREAS, 1963-1976 Bogota Medell'in Cali Barranquilla March 1963 8.4 - - June 1963 8.7 - - September 1963 7.4 - /a- - December 1963 7.1 12.8 - - - March 1964 6.7 13.6 /b - - June 1964 7.2 13.6 - - September 1964 7.4 - /- - December 1964 - 11.3 - - - March 1965 9.2 12.0 /b 13.2 - June 1965 8.8 10.7 / 13. September 1965 9.7 - / 11.8 December 1965 8.0 9.7 - - March 1966 10.1 10.6 /b June 1966 11.6 11.5 / - September 1966 9.6 - -- December 1966 9.2 - - 16.0 March 1967 16.1 - - - June 1967 12.7 - d 14.9 /- September 1967 10.6 14.5 / - 18.4 /d December 1967 - - - March 1968 13.5 - - - June 1968 11.6 - 14.9 /c September 1968 11.2 - - - December 1968 9.8 - - - March 1969 11.0 - - - June 1969 11.6 - - - September 1969 8.9 - - - December 1969 6.9 - - - March 1970 8.8 - - - June 1970 7.9 - - - October 1971 8.4 12.7 10.7 15.4 October 1972 6.6 13.0 13.3 14.7 June 1974 11.1 13.4 12.1 19.3 October 1974 10.0 12.9 12.5 16.2 March 1975 11.3 - - - September 1975 8.3 14.1 10.9 14.7 March 1976 9.4 13.9 13.8 12.3 June 1976 8.4 13.1 11.O 11.1 September 1976 8.8 13.3 12.6 10.7 November 1976 8.1 12.9 8.7 9.1 /a November; /b July; /c May; /d October. Source: DANE's Boletin Mensual de Estad{istica and unpublished figures. /a 1.able 1.' - 0OLC3: UI -E,' 1R? E >' ,IJ 1AJI,CIPAT-OFlEi FLO-,EUR CITIES, 1971-76 Nov.-Dec. Oct.-Nov. June Nov.-Dec. Oct. Mar.-Apr. June Sept. Nov.-Dec. 1971 1972 1974 1974 1975 1976 1976 1976 1976 Underemployment Rates /b Barranquilla 21.9 16.0 24.8 19.1 22.3 19.2 15.8 15.2 15.4 Bogota 12.5 14.1 17.9 16.5 16.7 17.4 15.0 11.6 14.2 Cali 17.8 15.8 15.8 15.9 17.8 19.5 23.1 18.2 15.3 Medellin 26.1 17.9 11.9 12.6 19.0 18.4 21.1 17.9 14.9 Total /c 15.0 17.8 17.2 15.4 16.9 18.1 17.6 14.3 14.7 Participation Rates Barranquilla 33.7 33.8 35.8 34.3 33.8 33.5 34.1 34.6 35.7 Bogota 33.5 32.3 37.9 35.3 35.7 36.7 37.0 36.0 37.2 Cali 34.6 33.9 36.5 35.4 35.4 38.0 36.9 37.1 36.9 Medellin 31.0 34.8 34.6 34.2 33.6 33.8 33.2 35.6 35.9 Total /c - 32.0 36.7 32.8 35.0 36.0 35.9 36.0 36.7 /a Provisional figures. /b Underemployed is based on number of hours worked compared with number desired and wages received. /c Weighted average of the four cities. Source: National Statistics Department (DANE) - Unpublished figures. Table.1 .5 - COLOMBIA: INCOME DISTRIBUTION IN COLOMBIA ACCORDING TO SEVEN ESTIMATES V % Population McLure I! Urrutia 2 DANE 3/ DANIE 4/ Taylor i ECLA 6 Berry 2 (Cumulative) 1964 1964 1970 1972 1961 1962 1960 (Urban) (Urban) (Agriculture) 10 - .5 - 1.5 1.5 - 2.0 20 - 1.0 - 3.5 - - 5.0 30 - 3.0 - 7.5 - - 8.5 40 10.5 6.5 9.4 11.7 12.0 - 12.2 50 15.0 11.0 - 16.0 18.0 20 14.0 60 20.0 17.0 - 22.0 23.0 26 21.0 70 27.0 25.5 28.0 32.0 30.0 34 26.0 80 36.0 37.0 39.0 43.0 40.0 43 34.0 90 48.0 53.0 55.0 60.5 58.0 57 46.0 95 60.0 67.0 68.o 74.0 72.0 70 57.0 100 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100 100.0 / Charles G. McLure - The Incidence of Taxation in Colombia (1964) - in Musgrave and Gilles, Fiscal Reform for Colombia, Cambridge, 1971 2/ Miguel Urrutia and Elsa Villalba - Distribucio'n de Ingresos Urbanos para Colombia en 1964 - Bogota', 1970 3/ Encuesta de Hogares - 1970 - DANE 4/ Encuesta de Hogares en Siete Ciudades, 1970 - DANE - actualized to 1972 by Rodrigo Manrique in Revista de Planeacion y Desarrollo, July-Dec. 1972 5/ Milton Taylor OAS/IDB Joint Tax Program - Fiscal Survey of Colombia - JH Press, 1965 6/ ECLA - Income Distribution in Latin America (A revised version of special study number III published in the Economic Survey of Latin America, 1969) EICN 12/863, New York, 1971 7/ Albert Berry - Land Distribution, Income Distribution and the Productive Efficiency of Colombian Agriculture - Economic Growth Center, Yale University, March 20, 1971 1/ Table 1.6 - COLOMBIA: EMPLOYMENT BY SECTORS IN THE FOUR MAIN CITIES (In thousands of workers) Total Bogota, Cali, June 1974 September 1975 March 1976 Barranquilla and Medellfn Absolute % Absolute % Absolute x Construction 126.3 7.2 118.1 6.5 121.1 6.2 Agriculture 16.2 0.9 26.5 1.5 24.3 1.2 Mining 5.6 0.3 5.3 0.3 6.2 0.3 Manufacturing 437.2 24.8 445.9 24.5 502.9 25.6 Electricity, Gas and Water 15.2 0.9 13.6 0.7 15.2 0.8 Transportation and Communication 128.5 7.3 118.4 6.5 122.2 6.2 Trade (Wholesale and Retail) 378.1 21.4 385.5 21.1 420.9 21.4 Financial Services and Insurance 96.2 5.5 108.4 5.9 111.1 5.7 Other Services 557.9 31.6 598.2 32.8 637.8 32.4 Not Classified (insufficient information) 2.6 0.1 3.7 0.2 4.1 0.2 Total 1,763.7 100.0 1,823.6 100.0 1,965.8 100.0 1/ Bogota, Cali, Barranquilla, and M4edell
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